Brokie
0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855
- Realised P&L
- $420.4k
- Volume
- $22.83M
- Markets traded
- 954
- Open portfolio
- $458.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded954
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.0kat 0.500Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$99.4kat 0.0812024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$75.5kat 0.037Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$48.7kat 0.172Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$38.3kat 0.997US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 21:59 | Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9719594767 | $297.90 |
| 08-30 21:59 | Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9619454298 | $826.56 |
| 08-30 21:41 | Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899 | $119.63 |
| 08-30 21:41 | Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8977992667 | $269.34 |
| 08-30 21:41 | Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.103 | $0.52 |
| 08-30 20:05 | Will Iran target Jordan by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.265 | $1.35 |
| 08-25 15:49 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.3667270124 | $327.88 |
| 08-25 15:49 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.366 | $366.00 |
| 08-22 23:08 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $892.70 |
| 08-20 20:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.48 | $5.5k |
| 08-20 14:42 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $390.61 |
| 08-19 22:59 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6110771333 | $7.3k |
| 08-12 18:53 | Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.1363816794 | $14.29 |
| 08-12 18:53 | Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.1249469589 | $62.47 |
| 08-12 18:46 | Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.45 | $178.20 |