Brokie
0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855
- Realised P&L
- $443.5k
- Volume
- $22.63M
- Markets traded
- 944
- Open portfolio
- $459.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded944
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.1kat 0.0842024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$75.4kat 0.038Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$48.7kat 0.172Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$38.3kat 0.997US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$38.2kat 0.198Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 23:55 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.57700455 | $115.40 |
| 07-23 23:54 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4937161296 | $375.24 |
| 07-23 23:34 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5965215644 | $2.0k |
| 07-23 23:34 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 07-23 23:28 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.599783225 | $719.74 |
| 07-23 23:27 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5971316813 | $882.67 |
| 07-23 23:27 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 07-23 20:15 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | BUY | 0.7285625 | $11.66 |
| 07-20 18:20 | Trump on $250 bill this year? | SELL | 0.9766650563 | $3.2k |
| 07-20 18:18 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.994 | $7.5k |
| 07-20 18:14 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.9k |
| 07-20 04:45 | Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.59 |
| 07-20 04:42 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.5k |
| 07-19 19:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4049808333 | $1.2k |
| 07-19 00:27 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.3299999993 | $300.00 |