Brokie
0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855
- Realised P&L
- $185.1k
- Volume
- $23.02M
- Markets traded
- 969
- Open portfolio
- $327.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded969
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.1kat 0.0842024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$75.4kat 0.038Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$48.7kat 0.172Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$38.3kat 0.997US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$38.2kat 0.198Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:12 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.9603183627 | $21.0k |
| 10-29 21:05 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.97414001 | $563.57 |
| 10-16 21:11 | Trump on $250 bill this year? | SELL | 0.9696243346 | $644.86 |
| 10-16 01:27 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | SELL | 0.0843269373 | $421.63 |
| 10-16 01:08 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4942681593 | $1.1k |
| 10-15 02:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $515.61 |
| 10-10 21:13 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1320918182 | $160.09 |
| 10-10 21:13 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2414468167 | $1.4k |
| 10-10 20:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.0598595571 | $41.90 |
| 10-10 20:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.0588544667 | $70.63 |
| 10-10 19:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.069427647 | $26.39 |
| 10-10 19:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.069121765 | $691.22 |
| 10-10 19:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.0582996065 | $116.60 |
| 10-09 01:38 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1095684434 | $460.02 |
| 10-09 01:37 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0934457472 | $38.81 |