hose
0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774
- Realised P&L
- $58.4k
- Volume
- $7.97M
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $145.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.7kat 0.146Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$100.1kat 0.039Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.1kat 0.434Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$9.0kat 0.868Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
- +$8.9kat 0.634Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999991 | $400.00 |
| 11-01 13:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8361708395 | $567.76 |
| 11-01 13:37 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.97008803 | $970.09 |
| 10-28 00:42 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8150587377 | $650.00 |
| 10-27 21:35 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9602905116 | $825.85 |
| 10-27 18:47 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8168322153 | $750.00 |
| 10-27 18:45 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9689367089 | $765.46 |
| 10-27 17:21 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $327.87 |
| 10-27 17:20 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9740363636 | $267.86 |
| 10-20 03:50 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8163427842 | $600.00 |
| 10-20 03:49 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7971983262 | $2.5k |
| 10-19 00:51 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9805555556 | $88.25 |
| 10-16 12:38 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $400.00 |
| 10-14 12:09 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7297985734 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 00:14 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999988 | $500.00 |