PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hose

0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774

Realised P&L
$58.4k
Volume
$7.97M
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$145.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3990.381$57.6k−$2.7k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2480.204$30.8k−$6.6k
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7520.825$21.4k+$1.9k
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6910.875$17.7k+$3.7k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4110.725$3.8k+$1.6k
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3480.961$3.6k+$2.3k
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8460.870$3.1k+$83.38
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8000.969$2.1k+$372.97
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.017$1.9k−$486.74
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.7860.958$1.8k+$317.84
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2520.555$796.10+$434.51
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0630.030$411.77−$437.49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0920.103$365.92+$41.92
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.183$183.00−$18.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.126$125.50+$31.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:37Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8799999991$400.00
11-01 13:37Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8361708395$567.76
11-01 13:37StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.97008803$970.09
10-28 00:42Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8150587377$650.00
10-27 21:35Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9602905116$825.85
10-27 18:47Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8168322153$750.00
10-27 18:45Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9689367089$765.46
10-27 17:21Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8099999996$327.87
10-27 17:20StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9740363636$267.86
10-20 03:50Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8163427842$600.00
10-20 03:49Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7971983262$2.5k
10-19 00:51Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9805555556$88.25
10-16 12:38Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7899999999$400.00
10-14 12:09Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7297985734$50.00
10-13 00:14Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7799999988$500.00