hose
0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774
- Realised P&L
- $75.4k
- Volume
- $7.87M
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $230.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.7kat 0.146Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$100.4kat 0.039Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.1kat 0.434Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$9.0kat 0.868Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
- +$8.9kat 0.634Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 02:31 | Felix Protocol FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.189999997 | $11.28 |
| 09-09 02:31 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7567928795 | $450.00 |
| 08-28 22:42 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0069999999 | $75.00 |
| 08-28 18:56 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.177 | $3.36 |
| 08-28 18:55 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.481 | $240.50 |
| 08-28 00:16 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | SELL | 0.7 | $152.75 |
| 08-28 00:16 | Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | SELL | 0.8046359689 | $272.43 |
| 08-28 00:15 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4739856092 | $984.48 |
| 08-28 00:15 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.173 | $182.08 |
| 08-18 12:27 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.473 | $538.81 |
| 08-16 12:36 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.468 | $408.28 |
| 08-14 20:02 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.465 | $93.00 |
| 08-12 10:54 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $118.67 |
| 08-11 11:51 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.234 | $819.00 |
| 08-11 00:40 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0233569757 | $45.42 |