PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hose

0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774

Realised P&L
$75.4k
Volume
$7.87M
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$230.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3990.512$77.4k+$17.2k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.945$75.6k+$3.0k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2480.163$24.6k$12.9k
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6910.860$17.4k+$3.4k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8480.935$12.5k+$1.2k
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.8000.935$4.8k+$689.79
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3480.880$4.4k+$2.7k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4110.760$4.0k+$1.8k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.019$2.2k$144.51
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6030.745$2.2k+$421.56
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.7860.915$1.7k+$238.46
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8490.840$1.6k$16.37
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2520.610$874.99+$513.40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0630.035$479.27$369.99
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0920.105$372.99+$48.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 02:31Felix Protocol FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.189999997$11.28
09-09 02:31Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7567928795$450.00
08-28 22:42Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0069999999$75.00
08-28 18:56Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.177$3.36
08-28 18:55Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.481$240.50
08-28 00:16Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchSELL0.7$152.75
08-28 00:16Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?SELL0.8046359689$272.43
08-28 00:15Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4739856092$984.48
08-28 00:15Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.173$182.08
08-18 12:27Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.473$538.81
08-16 12:36Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.468$408.28
08-14 20:02Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.465$93.00
08-12 10:54Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.02$118.67
08-11 11:51Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.234$819.00
08-11 00:40Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0233569757$45.42