hose
0xcc2982e3fbbcaf9af9fa373fa3ae392fd9457774
- Realised P&L
- $76.5k
- Volume
- $7.74M
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $227.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.0kat 0.144Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$100.2kat 0.038Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.4kat 0.434Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$9.0kat 0.868Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
- +$8.9kat 0.634Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 02:19 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.093 | $93.00 |
| 07-31 02:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.094 | $94.00 |
| 07-31 02:18 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.113847506 | $115.00 |
| 07-31 02:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.124 | $124.00 |
| 07-31 02:18 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.201 | $201.00 |
| 07-30 02:24 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.1182965281 | $50.00 |
| 07-27 16:05 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9110194086 | $1.6k |
| 07-27 00:08 | Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1229615219 | $185.19 |
| 07-27 00:05 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.429 | $4.3k |
| 07-27 00:05 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.6k |
| 07-23 02:59 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8702852853 | $289.81 |
| 07-22 23:24 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7195682586 | $250.00 |
| 07-20 04:05 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.416 | $2.8k |
| 07-20 04:05 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4161874127 | $2.0k |
| 07-20 02:59 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.18 |