11122
0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122
- Realised P&L
- $656.0k
- Volume
- $208.99M
- Markets traded
- 4,122
- Open portfolio
- $473.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,122
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$585.0kat 0.017Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$196.2kat 0.009Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$195.4kat 0.024Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$138.7kat 0.001Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
- +$126.4kat 0.002Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:56 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $980.00 |
| 10-31 23:29 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $150.12 |
| 10-30 21:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3 | $6.0k |
| 10-30 03:53 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 03:50 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $11.6k |
| 10-30 03:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.31 | $8.9k |
| 10-29 16:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.176 | $109.13 |
| 10-29 16:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.33 | $3.3k |
| 10-29 16:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.33 | $11.1k |
| 10-28 19:22 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 10-28 13:40 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $280.73 |
| 10-28 06:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.21 | $220.50 |
| 10-28 06:33 | Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9356349675 | $63.36 |
| 10-28 06:21 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.007 | $22.01 |
| 10-28 04:24 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.08 |