11122
0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122
- Realised P&L
- $749.1k
- Volume
- $203.89M
- Markets traded
- 4,071
- Open portfolio
- $464.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,071
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$585.0kat 0.017Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$488.2kat 0.001Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$203.8kat 0.001Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$196.4kat 0.009Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
- +$138.7kat 0.001Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:00 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9348405862 | $750.80 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9960952721 | $487.74 |
| 09-16 17:58 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $39.03 |
| 09-16 17:44 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.2k |
| 09-15 16:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.078 | $488.36 |
| 09-15 01:01 | Will Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.9984672241 | $298.54 |
| 09-15 01:01 | Will Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.999 | $520.39 |
| 09-15 01:01 | Will Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.9984144144 | $277.06 |
| 09-15 01:00 | Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.999 | $424.88 |
| 09-15 01:00 | Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.90 |
| 09-15 00:56 | Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | BUY | 0.5725899348 | $30.72 |
| 09-15 00:53 | Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.999 | $505.43 |
| 09-15 00:53 | Will Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.999 | $539.40 |
| 09-15 00:53 | Will Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.9989509331 | $548.67 |
| 09-15 00:53 | Will Mark Ruffalo – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? | BUY | 0.9958853914 | $74.03 |