garbagefriends
0xc5bdf06de8ac9e1a904408d101c0cdc86571ceaa
- Realised P&L
- $597.95
- Volume
- $2.43M
- Markets traded
- 1,448
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,448
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.010Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.894Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.825US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.972US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.101Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:51 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 21:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.26 |
| 09-15 19:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $14.80 |
| 09-15 19:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.36 |
| 09-15 19:40 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $169.53 |
| 09-15 18:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.36 |
| 09-15 17:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.20 |
| 09-15 17:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.992 | $169.46 |
| 09-15 17:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.9921787847 | $169.48 |
| 09-15 16:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.38 |
| 09-15 16:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.53 |
| 09-15 16:33 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $47.11 |
| 09-15 16:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | SELL | 0.9912318427 | $152.72 |
| 09-15 14:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.38 |
| 09-15 13:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.17 |