PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

garbagefriends

0xc5bdf06de8ac9e1a904408d101c0cdc86571ceaa

Realised P&L
$597.95
Volume
$2.43M
Markets traded
1,448
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,448
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8450.835$1.2k$14.31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.935$795.30$4.25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.7600.945$397.88+$77.79
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9760.977$341.08+$0.51
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? · Yes0.9870.985$320.98$0.72
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6530.185$305.01$772.05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.982$297.43+$0.15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9450.942$283.08$1.05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.925$255.35+$1.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · No0.4280.405$211.84$12.28
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8960.948$209.59+$11.39
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9800.978$190.07$0.51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3980.375$187.50$11.50
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.6830.982$168.44+$51.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.3230.325$145.62+$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:51Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.05$6.00
09-15 21:00Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$2.26
09-15 19:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$14.80
09-15 19:42Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$2.36
09-15 19:40US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?BUY0.43$169.53
09-15 18:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$2.36
09-15 17:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$0.20
09-15 17:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.992$169.46
09-15 17:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.9921787847$169.48
09-15 16:58Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$2.38
09-15 16:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?BUY0.43$9.53
09-15 16:33Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.23$47.11
09-15 16:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?SELL0.9912318427$152.72
09-15 14:11Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$2.38
09-15 13:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$0.17