PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AnonymousUsername

0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2

Realised P&L
$929.3k
Volume
$140.35M
Markets traded
8,969
Open portfolio
$254.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,969
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.164$13.3k+$12.7k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0530.163$11.0k+$7.4k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.105$9.9k+$9.2k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3030.162$9.6k$8.4k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0850.182$8.9k+$4.8k
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? · No0.3960.505$7.9k+$1.7k
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1880.315$7.5k+$3.0k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.116$7.3k+$6.8k
Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under0.4600.455$7.2k$78.81
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.082$5.6k+$5.1k
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.4980.530$5.4k+$328.01
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Under0.5370.565$5.2k+$258.72
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 · Under0.4620.860$5.1k+$2.4k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.064$4.9k+$4.3k
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates0.4400.495$4.8k+$532.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 19:38Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.001$0.46
04-17 15:10Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.45$932.59
04-13 04:05Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.0102328806$55.99
04-13 03:37Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.56$4.96
04-13 03:23Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.41$4.0k
04-12 14:46Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?BUY0.997$324.02
04-12 14:44Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.999$9.0k
04-12 14:44Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.999$999.00
04-12 14:44Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.999$20.0k
03-15 03:52Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.945$1.2k
03-12 10:33Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?BUY0.4409386733$126.83
03-12 09:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?BUY0.39$221.91
03-12 06:54Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?SELL0.0012380952$0.26
03-12 06:08Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?SELL0.0031582828$10.66
03-12 06:05Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.001$0.03