PolyBot

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Traders

Bondoooor

0x5c8df9bb6bd97b9dc7da64efc063a29ac6427f99

Realised P&L
$28.6k
Volume
$2.02M
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.024$352.50$7.1k
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.015$246.50$8.3k
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.004$103.50$11.4k
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.003$57.50$11.4k
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.006$53.95$4.1k
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$37.50$12.5k
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$37.50$12.5k
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$37.50$12.5k
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$34.50$11.5k
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$34.50$11.5k
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.002$34.50$11.5k
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.017$16.50+$8.69
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.001$12.50$12.5k
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.001$12.50$12.5k
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.001$12.50$12.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 21:18Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$6.00
07-08 21:16Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$21.00
07-08 21:16Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$7.00
07-08 21:08Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.014$14.00
07-08 21:08Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$5.00
07-08 21:08Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$5.00
07-08 21:08Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.005$5.00
07-08 21:07Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$6.00
07-08 21:06Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$40.00
02-22 20:43Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$90.00
02-22 20:41Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$160.00
02-04 23:57Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$84.00
02-04 23:54Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$84.00
01-05 04:45Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.959$59.85
01-05 04:45Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.846$3.83