PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MaxEnt

0xcf070b9ed273abd6185a4253713ce8e64c0ec770

Realised P&L
$39.0k
Volume
$2.04M
Markets traded
681
Open portfolio
$186.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded681
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9960.987$36.8k$357.00
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6380.775$7.8k+$1.4k
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.3870.710$7.5k+$3.4k
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.8510.945$6.0k+$600.04
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.1610.765$5.9k+$4.7k
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4280.877$4.9k+$2.5k
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2350.720$4.2k+$2.8k
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7930.881$4.1k+$410.62
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5910.735$4.0k+$783.38
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6380.864$3.9k+$1.0k
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7280.865$3.8k+$607.71
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.3190.445$3.7k+$1.1k
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2760.405$2.9k+$936.45
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5690.885$2.9k+$1.0k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1470.125$2.8k$484.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:52Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7621724795$596.38
08-02 22:41Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.8851203161$669.89
08-02 22:40Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8282575665$475.35
08-01 20:50Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7943908299$317.41
08-01 20:46Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4$404.78
08-01 20:44Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.47$2.98
08-01 20:43Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8513331694$1.6k
08-01 20:41Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$598.56
08-01 10:43Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.4030642396$627.75
08-01 10:34Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.1196975864$180.17
08-01 10:33Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.2136388006$595.34
08-01 09:45Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.63$799.97
08-01 02:43Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?BUY0.17$68.00
07-31 15:28Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?BUY0.1036986667$15.55
07-30 15:08Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.66$85.81