PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ArchBishopSusan

0x76c8f559d4c52efb05fea6019b68c3ccc3880439

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$845.8k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1200.182$1.6k+$562.50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.054$654.00+$54.00
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.024$552.09+$52.11
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0340.025$198.47$63.91
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.015$163.93$60.06
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.018$145.94$35.08
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.004$142.50$995.22
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$100.00$180.00
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$95.64$57.38
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$58.05$41.95
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.009$33.34$11.11
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$30.00$70.00
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$29.20$321.20
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$21.43$78.57
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$19.44$30.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 20:56Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.026$498.88
08-05 17:08Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0260585181$500.00
07-11 23:00Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.0105172281$56.85
07-11 21:55Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1849999999$1000.00
05-06 19:14Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0226412873$200.00
05-06 19:13Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.020704189$200.00
05-06 19:12Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0591551322$1.1k
05-06 19:10Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$100.00
05-04 06:36Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0119999997$44.45
05-04 06:34Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999998$50.00
05-04 06:34Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999998$50.00
05-03 21:27Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$22.42
05-03 21:20Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.075$16.10
04-02 15:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2109999999$1.0k
04-02 06:42Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$100.00