tugator
0x0c2619b92cd24c8d7f347244cba2af3275f1d223
- Realised P&L
- $37.6k
- Volume
- $3.44M
- Markets traded
- 3,536
- Open portfolio
- $120.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,536
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$4.6kat 0.505Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$3.6kat 0.008Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$3.2kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$2.9kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:54 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 21:11 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 08-26 16:18 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 16:17 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 16:16 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $42.53 |
| 08-22 11:37 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $21.01 |
| 08-18 16:36 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.53 |
| 08-18 16:35 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $21.75 |
| 08-06 23:22 | Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $50.47 |
| 07-30 09:59 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $23.96 |
| 07-24 17:07 | Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $8.78 |
| 07-24 17:03 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $71.25 |
| 07-24 17:03 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 17:02 | Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $59.38 |
| 07-22 12:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |