PolyBot

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Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.030 to 0.137. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0475050
0.04983133
0.49914147
0.50014161
0.55016176
0.57016193
0.65020213
0.66640253
0.668301554
0.669117671
0.6705211,192
0.700231,215

Spread0.032Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0155656
0.01350106
0.0119116
0.01010126
0.00827153
0.00636189
0.00544233
0.00423256
0.003116373
0.002175547
0.001422970

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9855656
0.98750106
0.9899116
0.99010126
0.99227153
0.99436189
0.99544233
0.99623256
0.997116373
0.998175547
0.999422970

Spread0.032Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9535050
0.95183133
0.50114147
0.50014161
0.45016176
0.43016193
0.35020213
0.33440253
0.332301554
0.331117671
0.3305211,192
0.300231,215

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BikesAreTheBikesYes644.11
0x6b25…7a69Yes607.39
HerrieDavisYes604.89
acc42020Yes228.25
moneypoliYes100
AJSVYes82.79
alualu28Yes72.8
OskTorYes20.76
Mikoomi6Yes18.87
0x978BD4DB4c26bB0Be145b5A95b1113Bba6692aDd-1771856332657Yes5
KiernanMeisterNo1,812.59
black4562No174.8
title1No100
AnjunNo54
lissartterNo51.65
ddd141No49.99
a5533No28.03
0x817969bF0B89102F99472BCC83F47EEb274DB095-1759870239799No26.32
CrytoBotRDNo10.87
0x6aA32Fef703AaAAd8DaDa585412b76D0224DCAf6-1774374950083No10.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:45:33BUYYes0.048169081221$1.00
03:59:24SELLNo0.952500915844$41.61
02:20:27BUYNo0.94999998126$25.00
23:58:56BUYNo0.9485$4.74
23:11:14BUYYes0.06786$5.78
23:10:11SELLNo0.93566577930$28.11
23:10:06SELLNo0.939473074957$53.56
23:10:03BUYYes0.0513141651509$26.14
23:10:03BUYYes0.05857$3.31
22:47:30BUYYes0.050999999898$5.00
14:34:13SELLNo0.9495$4.75
13:13:39BUYNo0.9489999976$6.00
02:25:27SELLNo0.94522$20.88
12:15:18BUYNo0.947999998911$10.00
18:36:40BUYNo0.948999981811$10.00
16:18:11BUYNo0.947999928711$10.00
16:00:27BUYNo0.94799938951$1.00
14:36:25BUYNo0.9485$4.74
12:32:09BUYNo0.9485$4.74
20:32:38BUYYes0.068682685773$5.00
17:24:22SELLNo0.93830$27.91
15:00:53SELLYes0.0531$0.05
13:34:01BUYNo0.954999471$1.00
11:13:21SELLNo0.93740$37.47
08:34:00SELLYes0.0653505155388$25.36