PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OskTor

0xffd564ade04dfef3140e99db5abf1a3c8f150d91

Realised P&L
$-5.44
Volume
$416.42
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$9.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes0.7500.905$1.21+$0.21
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028? · Yes0.3000.345$1.15+$0.15
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? · No0.7300.805$1.10+$0.10
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? · No0.7200.770$1.07+$0.07
Will Trump say "Nobel" this week? · Yes0.7600.660$0.87−$0.13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.205$0.79−$0.21
Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.0480.032$0.65−$0.35
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" this week? · No0.4600.265$0.58−$0.42
Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" this week? · No0.6600.360$0.55−$0.45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.5860.284$0.48−$0.52
Any G20 leader out in 2026? · Yes0.2800.130$0.46−$0.54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.5100.215$0.42−$0.58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3800.125$0.33−$0.67
Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 05:50Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" this week?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-12 05:49Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" this week?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-12 05:47Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-12 05:45Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.0481690812$1.00
10-08 17:44Any G20 leader out in 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-03 07:01Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.18$3.33
10-01 19:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-30 06:55EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.75$1.00
09-28 09:30Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.269999993$5.00
09-27 19:30Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-27 19:04Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-24 11:49U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?SELL0.1$1.82
09-23 19:02Will Trump's remarks not air?BUY0.0537275994$1.00
09-23 18:59Will Trump say "Genius" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-23 13:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23?BUY0.3879999379$1.00