black4562
0x924226df55c9319f97d0686000d05a38db4ba140
- Realised P&L
- $9.81
- Volume
- $160.60
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $53.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24? · No | 0.660 | 1.000 | $24.98 | +$8.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? · No | 0.665 | 0.570 | $21.01 | −$3.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 24? · No | 0.530 | 1.000 | $7.95 | +$3.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$10.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.81at 0.560South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Melbourne United