PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

black4562

0x924226df55c9319f97d0686000d05a38db4ba140

Realised P&L
$9.81
Volume
$160.60
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$53.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 24? · No0.6601.000$24.98+$8.48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? · No0.6650.570$21.01−$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 24? · No0.5301.000$7.95+$3.73
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24? · Yes0.1500.001$0.03−$10.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.