0x6aA32Fef703AaAAd8DaDa585412b76D0224DCAf6-1774374950083
0x6aa32fef703aaaad8dada585412b76d0224dcaf6
- Realised P&L
- $-65.93
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $37.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.38at 0.758Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$4.81at 0.893Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
- +$4.69at 0.810Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?
- +$3.79at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$3.44at 0.854Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 12:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9539999917 | $26.00 |
| 09-12 11:59 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 11:51 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 11:49 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.14 |
| 09-04 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 15:20 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 15:09 | Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9629999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 15:08 | Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 16:25 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 16:22 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9469999583 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 16:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9709999995 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 06:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 06:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |