0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$292.96at 0.118Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
- +$133.03at 0.665Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?
- +$100.23at 0.230Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?
- +$65.67at 0.730Willson Contreras: Home Runs O/U 0.5
- +$56.54at 0.880Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:46 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.619999987 | $11.42 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.46 |
| 08-03 03:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 03:27 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.05 |
| 08-03 03:27 | Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.41 |
| 08-03 03:27 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 03:27 | Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $9.51 |
| 08-03 03:07 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.0399659007 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 03:07 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.038999981 | $1.93 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.0549999507 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 01:38 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9499998768 | $6.94 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | SELL | 0.0026293333 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 01:37 | Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.20 |
| 08-03 01:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9499999856 | $23.14 |
| 08-03 00:42 | Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.86 |