PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$40.2k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.9000.991$482.34+$44.00
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.2900.785$439.06+$276.86
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.7340.961$422.38+$99.65
Spread: KS Cracovia Krakow (-2.5) · Pogon Szczecin0.9400.925$414.55$6.72
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8? · Yes0.9590.978$298.32+$5.79
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.8590.925$270.54+$19.18
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? · No0.7610.865$214.84+$25.93
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.5460.275$141.35$139.58
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.3300.360$96.58+$8.02
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.2500.180$93.58$36.39
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes0.3410.265$91.18$26.06
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.4150.420$89.14+$0.94
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.9680.996$87.23+$2.43
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.6390.640$82.72+$0.10
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? · Yes0.3660.500$75.13+$20.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:46Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.619999987$11.42
08-03 03:46Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.63$6.46
08-03 03:28Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.04$1.09
08-03 03:27Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.04$1.05
08-03 03:27Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$2.41
08-03 03:27Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.04$1.09
08-03 03:27Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$9.51
08-03 03:07Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.0399659007$1.09
08-03 03:07Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.038999981$1.93
08-03 02:30Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.0549999507$1.02
08-03 01:38Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9499998768$6.94
08-03 01:37Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?SELL0.0026293333$0.08
08-03 01:37Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$4.20
08-03 01:35Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9499999856$23.14
08-03 00:42Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?BUY0.02$2.86