0x978BD4DB4c26bB0Be145b5A95b1113Bba6692aDd-1771856332657
0x978bd4db4c26bb0be145b5a95b1113bba6692add
- Realised P&L
- $-5.94
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 632
- Open portfolio
- $242.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded632
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.01at 0.201Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?
- +$11.79at 0.500Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$10.42at 0.512Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$9.90at 0.500Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$8.75at 0.271Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:44 | Will Airbnb say "International" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.62 | $0.62 |
| 08-04 17:43 | Will Kensei Hirata finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-04 17:42 | Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Wyndham Championship? | SELL | 0.931 | $3.72 |
| 08-04 17:41 | Will SpaceX say "Data Center" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.22 |
| 08-04 17:37 | Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.61 |
| 08-04 17:36 | Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 0 - 1 Real Salt Lake? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-04 17:36 | Will SpaceX say "Data Center" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 16:32 | Will SpaceX say "Trump" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.18 |
| 08-04 16:31 | Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 08-04 14:37 | Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.13 |
| 08-04 14:37 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-04 14:37 | Will SpaceX say "Tesla" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.64 |
| 08-04 14:13 | Will Vietnam vs. Cambodia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |
| 08-04 13:53 | Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.87 | $3.48 |
| 08-04 12:47 | Will Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |