ddd141
0xfa686b1486c0622c54164d86b1d6f784d0bbba5d
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $194.4k
- Markets traded
- 921
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded921
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.780US government shutdown by October 1?
- +$945.35at 0.007Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$841.00at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$799.20at 0.016Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$628.84at 0.003Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:51 | Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8389629829 | $93.60 |
| 09-17 19:10 | Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $192.00 |
| 09-17 18:03 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.82 | $328.00 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 09-17 17:59 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 09-17 17:57 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 09-17 17:56 | Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 17:50 | Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $204.00 |
| 09-17 16:31 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $68.35 |
| 09-15 14:30 | Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.102 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 19:43 | Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6863272587 | $196.21 |
| 09-10 16:42 | Belgium vs. Germany/South Korea | SELL | 0.15 | $30.75 |
| 09-09 21:42 | Belgium vs. Germany/South Korea | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |