PolyBot

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Traders

ddd141

0xfa686b1486c0622c54164d86b1d6f784d0bbba5d

Realised P&L
$-738.79
Volume
$259.7k
Markets traded
1,829
Open portfolio
$592.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,829
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes0.6630.545$118.80−$25.79
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.8800.933$77.49+$4.44
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.9520.999$69.90+$3.26
Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft? · No0.9520.954$66.78+$0.15
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6700.875$43.75+$10.25
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.9700.982$39.26+$0.48
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.951$38.04−$0.32
Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6300.675$33.75+$2.25
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7100.625$31.25−$4.25
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7900.420$29.40−$25.90
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.6700.515$25.75−$7.75
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.9310.936$18.73+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 12:21Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?SELL0.52$104.00
10-29 22:16Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.9223193333$138.35
10-29 20:25Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.999$49.95
10-29 19:10Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.7$70.00
10-29 17:16Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.8571428571$60.00
10-26 23:58Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.74$48.10
10-25 21:38Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?BUY0.982$34.28
10-23 23:13Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8$160.00
10-23 23:00Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.55$11.00
10-23 22:59Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6$30.00
10-23 22:54Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.87$6.69
10-23 22:40Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.35$17.50
10-23 22:09Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5700642055$56.82
10-23 22:02Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.106$5.30
10-23 21:59Will Rivian (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1906666667$5.72