alualu28
0x16ab6f08263c05ffa88e8d8a988420ddd119c87e
- Realised P&L
- $239.23
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $413.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.89at 0.046Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$40.12at 0.716Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
- +$30.46at 0.502Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$14.26at 0.886Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$13.68at 0.787Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 10:44 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.8999999928 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 10:35 | Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 10:33 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 20:32 | Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.0686826857 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:31 | Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:31 | Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:34 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 14:32 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 13:46 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4949999559 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 08:39 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8979999914 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 08:35 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8799497162 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 08:30 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.10 |
| 09-25 11:05 | Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.3785659445 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 10:57 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |