0x817969bF0B89102F99472BCC83F47EEb274DB095-1759870239799
0x817969bf0b89102f99472bcc83f47eeb274db095
- Realised P&L
- $159.81
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $50.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.24at 0.255Will Ecuador be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
- +$70.01at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$61.52at 0.289Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$54.72at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$29.90at 0.455Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:20 | Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $25.00 |
| 10-12 02:20 | Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 20:39 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.9074999986 | $25.00 |
| 06-26 15:05 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.82 | $25.00 |
| 06-26 14:12 | Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 06-21 02:41 | Will Ecuador be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2491358451 | $28.83 |
| 06-20 00:07 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 00:07 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.9399999842 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 00:05 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.9569999999 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 00:04 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.962 | $25.00 |
| 06-11 00:46 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.9 | $25.00 |
| 06-05 22:51 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.32 |
| 05-27 15:28 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $25.00 |
| 04-28 15:44 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election? | BUY | 0.9299999751 | $25.00 |
| 03-28 18:31 | Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28? | BUY | 0.7799999944 | $25.00 |