PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x817969bF0B89102F99472BCC83F47EEb274DB095-1759870239799

0x817969bf0b89102f99472bcc83f47eeb274db095

Realised P&L
$159.81
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$50.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.9500.970$25.53+$0.53
Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.9400.930$24.73−$0.27
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-22? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.6570.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.5070.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.3550.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.9600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.6970.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 02:20Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.949999981$25.00
10-12 02:20Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.9399999992$25.00
07-14 20:39Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.9074999986$25.00
06-26 15:05Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.82$25.00
06-26 14:12Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.95$25.00
06-21 02:41Will Ecuador be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.2491358451$28.83
06-20 00:07Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.96$25.00
06-20 00:07Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.9399999842$25.00
06-20 00:05Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.9569999999$25.00
06-20 00:04Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.962$25.00
06-11 00:46Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.9$25.00
06-05 22:51Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.999$25.32
05-27 15:28Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.9859999997$25.00
04-28 15:44Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?BUY0.9299999751$25.00
03-28 18:31Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?BUY0.7799999944$25.00