PolyBot

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Traders

acc42020

0xeab61f1c7168138db3e0bb87acadfb77ce8dd4c6

Realised P&L
$11.7k
Volume
$13.33M
Markets traded
8,843
Open portfolio
$6.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,843
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? · No0.5091.000$467.99+$229.39
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.2460.365$368.72+$120.61
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.7090.635$255.27−$29.91
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.7200.725$251.18+$1.73
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · No0.8500.973$235.99+$29.73
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5160.495$220.47−$9.48
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.7380.736$216.23−$0.88
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.8560.896$202.85+$9.01
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? · No0.2720.389$189.28+$56.61
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? · No0.3920.365$154.68−$11.34
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? · Yes0.4070.680$149.54+$59.91
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? · No0.9610.985$137.33+$3.28
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.405$121.42+$54.86
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4260.395$118.46−$9.43
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.2880.330$113.76+$14.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:51Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.39$2.34
10-31 08:07Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?SELL0.16$16.64
10-31 00:23Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.23$18.40
10-30 02:53Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.958$43.11
10-29 20:34Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.18$7.20
10-28 12:34Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?SELL0.21$26.46
10-27 03:25Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.25$3.50
10-26 09:42Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?SELL0.48$39.36
10-25 13:26Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-25?SELL0.15$13.65
10-21 18:28Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.443$39.87
10-19 18:26Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?SELL0.42$22.26
10-15 05:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16?SELL0.54$99.90
10-14 19:14Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?SELL0.145$2.17
10-13 12:51Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 13?SELL0.45$2.25
10-10 14:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 10?SELL0.5$3.50