acc42020
0xeab61f1c7168138db3e0bb87acadfb77ce8dd4c6
- Realised P&L
- $11.7k
- Volume
- $13.33M
- Markets traded
- 8,843
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,843
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.214Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.636Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$1.4kat 0.006Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$1.3kat 0.521Army vs. Air Force
- +$1.2kat 0.099Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:51 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.34 |
| 10-31 08:07 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.64 |
| 10-31 00:23 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.23 | $18.40 |
| 10-30 02:53 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.958 | $43.11 |
| 10-29 20:34 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 10-28 12:34 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26? | SELL | 0.21 | $26.46 |
| 10-27 03:25 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.50 |
| 10-26 09:42 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? | SELL | 0.48 | $39.36 |
| 10-25 13:26 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.15 | $13.65 |
| 10-21 18:28 | Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.443 | $39.87 |
| 10-19 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.42 | $22.26 |
| 10-15 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 16? | SELL | 0.54 | $99.90 |
| 10-14 19:14 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | SELL | 0.145 | $2.17 |
| 10-13 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 13? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-10 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.50 |