Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-11-01
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.061 | 11 | 11 |
| 0.062 | 82 | 93 |
| 0.063 | 4 | 98 |
| 0.065 | 165 | 263 |
| 0.125 | 20 | 282 |
| 0.290 | 20 | 302 |
| 0.525 | 20 | 322 |
| 0.590 | 20 | 342 |
| 0.740 | 80 | 422 |
| 0.956 | 5 | 427 |
| 0.959 | 16 | 443 |
| 0.960 | 25 | 468 |
Spread0.053Mid0.035
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.008 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.007 | 19 | 31 |
| 0.006 | 53 | 84 |
| 0.005 | 169 | 254 |
| 0.004 | 100 | 353 |
| 0.003 | 274 | 627 |
| 0.002 | 235 | 862 |
| 0.001 | 319 | 1,181 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.992 | 13 | 13 |
| 0.993 | 19 | 31 |
| 0.994 | 53 | 84 |
| 0.995 | 169 | 254 |
| 0.996 | 100 | 353 |
| 0.997 | 274 | 627 |
| 0.998 | 235 | 862 |
| 0.999 | 319 | 1,181 |
Spread0.053Mid0.966
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.939 | 11 | 11 |
| 0.938 | 82 | 93 |
| 0.937 | 4 | 98 |
| 0.935 | 165 | 263 |
| 0.875 | 20 | 282 |
| 0.710 | 20 | 302 |
| 0.475 | 20 | 322 |
| 0.410 | 20 | 342 |
| 0.260 | 80 | 422 |
| 0.044 | 5 | 427 |
| 0.041 | 16 | 443 |
| 0.040 | 25 | 468 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-1757755172744 | Yes | 1,700 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 248.76 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 184 |
| AJSV | Yes | 179.16 |
| from00 | Yes | 99.98 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 92.11 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 82.05 |
| TeeCry | Yes | 25 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| 0x86CA8077b2d19c4B46EF16F05992817A41fc16Be-1782535406963 | Yes | 19.58 |
| PPMT | Yes | 11.31 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| 0xC2cAb36AC330e3f7DFcaE56fe1F0A89940f804f5-1771535889353 | Yes | 4.4 |
| Lexington | No | 1,896 |
| Gdub | No | 350.39 |
| pkz | No | 204.5 |
| Faston | No | 145.65 |
| Anjun | No | 33 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 21.72 |
| jzy0546 | No | 10.11 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:49:29 | SELL | No | 0.937 | 2 | $1.92 |
| 14:19:42 | BUY | Yes | 0.01 | 20 | $0.20 |
| 13:22:45 | BUY | Yes | 0.011 | 19 | $0.21 |
| 12:13:21 | BUY | Yes | 0.011 | 17 | $0.19 |
| 10:57:14 | BUY | Yes | 0.012 | 17 | $0.20 |
| 07:00:51 | SELL | Yes | 0.0103778878 | 18 | $0.19 |
| 02:28:24 | BUY | Yes | 0.0549999975 | 18 | $1.00 |
| 06:12:38 | SELL | Yes | 0.0059205944 | 318 | $1.88 |
| 04:50:58 | BUY | No | 0.9739999922 | 2 | $2.00 |
| 04:50:49 | BUY | No | 0.9747832 | 25 | $24.37 |
| 04:50:49 | BUY | No | 0.9657799511 | 205 | $197.50 |
| 03:21:40 | BUY | Yes | 0.0759999985 | 39 | $3.00 |
| 02:11:29 | BUY | Yes | 0.0539300635 | 278 | $15.00 |
| 09:35:58 | SELL | Yes | 0.07 | 10 | $0.70 |
| 09:35:52 | BUY | No | 0.929 | 10 | $9.29 |
| 00:44:57 | SELL | Yes | 0.04 | 20 | $0.80 |
| 21:50:14 | BUY | No | 0.96 | 22 | $20.85 |
| 01:39:53 | SELL | Yes | 0.04 | 20 | $0.80 |
| 01:38:21 | SELL | Yes | 0.04 | 40 | $1.60 |
| 01:38:20 | BUY | No | 0.9425235981 | 412 | $388.42 |
| 17:19:32 | SELL | Yes | 0.06 | 20 | $1.20 |
| 23:24:34 | BUY | No | 0.94 | 1,504 | $1413.76 |
| 17:32:21 | SELL | No | 0.92 | 1 | $1.02 |
| 15:17:52 | SELL | No | 0.92 | 22 | $20.44 |
| 15:17:43 | SELL | No | 0.92335 | 60 | $55.40 |