PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lexington

0xdebbe89ceb32828a99648bca497684f5209ceedb

Realised P&L
$171.9k
Volume
$9.13M
Markets traded
6,285
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,285
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.4880.500$1.5k+$36.60
Will CF América win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.6250.770$1.1k+$214.04
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.6230.625$955.04+$2.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9240.996$742.88+$53.37
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9200.945$708.75+$18.75
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.564$505.61+$495.53
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.212$190.67+$180.59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.111$99.15+$89.07
Will the match end in a draw? · No0.9610.570$67.87$46.59
Will the match end in a draw? · No0.9690.575$65.73$45.08
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.045$40.38+$30.30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8430.962$39.42+$4.87
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9800.980$12.38$0.01
Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm · Seattle Storm0.2200.185$12.17$2.30
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.009$7.63$2.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:50Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.956$121.89
09-17 03:50Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.98$125.19
09-17 02:38Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.979$93.42
09-17 02:38Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.958$91.01
09-17 02:34Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.979$124.02
09-17 02:34Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.96$118.80
09-16 19:55Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.966$256.98
09-16 19:55Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.978$268.22
09-16 19:12Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.978$83.13
09-16 19:12Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.966$82.11
09-16 19:12Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.978$196.40
09-16 19:12Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.966$193.20
09-16 16:03Exact Score: Italy 3 - 2 China PR?BUY0.96$120.00
09-16 15:12Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.49$211.68
09-16 15:11Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.49$240.10