Lexington
0xdebbe89ceb32828a99648bca497684f5209ceedb
- Realised P&L
- $171.9k
- Volume
- $9.13M
- Markets traded
- 6,285
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,285
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.7kat 0.059Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$31.0kat 0.291Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.3kat 0.045Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.7kat 0.561Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
- +$19.3kat 0.616Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:50 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.956 | $121.89 |
| 09-17 03:50 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.98 | $125.19 |
| 09-17 02:38 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.979 | $93.42 |
| 09-17 02:38 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.958 | $91.01 |
| 09-17 02:34 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.979 | $124.02 |
| 09-17 02:34 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.96 | $118.80 |
| 09-16 19:55 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.966 | $256.98 |
| 09-16 19:55 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.978 | $268.22 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.978 | $83.13 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.966 | $82.11 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.978 | $196.40 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.966 | $193.20 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Exact Score: Italy 3 - 2 China PR? | BUY | 0.96 | $120.00 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.49 | $211.68 |
| 09-16 15:11 | Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.49 | $240.10 |