PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-1757755172744

0xd0f86659dc92dc80302ace04fbf4e93d74696b50

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$298.2k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1040.065$665.51$398.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3790.225$400.95$274.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.3000.175$292.25$208.75
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0470.038$249.48$54.91
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0590.051$223.47$39.13
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? · Yes0.1310.085$202.57$109.22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1880.285$179.84+$61.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.2100.120$115.20$86.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3500.395$114.55+$13.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.565$113.00+$13.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3390.085$100.30$299.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.2100.065$97.50$217.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1700.080$93.81$106.79
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0180.017$85.00$4.98
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$15.46$23.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 05:31LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.57$91.20
09-13 05:29LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59$100.30
09-12 13:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$159.60
09-12 06:30LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.47$235.00
09-12 05:22LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.44$70.40
09-12 05:20LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.44$79.20
09-06 11:59LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsBUY0.13$52.00
09-06 11:58LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.28$4.20
09-06 11:57LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.35$14.00
09-06 11:56LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.35$52.50
09-06 11:55LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.15$12.45
09-06 11:54LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.14$0.70
09-06 11:36LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.3499999991$200.00
09-05 14:52LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.43$202.10
09-05 08:07LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5299999983$100.00