PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-1757755172744

0xd0f86659dc92dc80302ace04fbf4e93d74696b50

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$305.4k
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1040.034$348.12−$715.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3790.135$240.57−$435.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.3000.115$192.05−$308.95
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0470.029$184.68−$119.71
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1880.205$129.35+$10.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.530$106.00+$6.00
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? · Yes0.1270.043$103.67−$198.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3500.335$97.15−$4.35
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.160$80.00−$80.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.2100.055$52.80−$148.80
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0590.010$44.25−$218.34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1700.032$37.17−$163.42
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0180.006$30.00−$59.98
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.040$11.45−$194.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.2100.001$0.75−$314.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 05:31LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.32$92.80
10-25 05:31LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.24$400.80
10-25 05:27LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.11$154.00
10-24 04:31LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.19$95.00
10-24 04:31LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.5699999983$100.00
10-24 04:27LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.4499999994$200.00
10-22 04:01LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.59$330.18
09-13 05:31LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.57$91.20
09-13 05:29LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59$100.30
09-12 13:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$159.60
09-12 06:30LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.47$235.00
09-12 05:22LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.44$70.40
09-12 05:20LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.44$79.20
09-06 11:59LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsBUY0.13$52.00
09-06 11:58LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.28$4.20
Trader 0xd0F86659dc92DC80302aCE04fbf4E93d74696b50-1757755172744 · PolyBot Pro