Faston
0xa7fea388f955a9517067111030eb771c6d911f3e
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $897.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,062
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,062
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$488.31at 0.409Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$481.62at 0.761Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
- +$470.31at 0.113Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
- +$379.00at 0.620Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$350.59at 0.181Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:04 | Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms? | BUY | 0.93 | $47.43 |
| 11-01 03:34 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.75 |
| 11-01 01:57 | Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 10-31 16:42 | Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire before the midterms? | BUY | 0.8920792079 | $90.10 |
| 10-31 16:42 | Will Donald Trump visit Oregon before the midterms? | BUY | 0.893442623 | $54.50 |
| 10-31 16:40 | Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms? | BUY | 0.8338842975 | $100.90 |
| 10-31 07:25 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-31 07:22 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | BUY | 0.3446 | $17.23 |
| 10-31 01:36 | Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.71 |
| 10-30 14:53 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.43 | $30.10 |
| 10-30 08:37 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9766982389 | $41.04 |
| 10-30 08:37 | Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9780924982 | $53.72 |
| 10-30 08:34 | Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-29 16:11 | Will Trump say "Epstein" in November? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.83 |
| 10-29 16:11 | Will Trump say "Epstein" in November? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |