Faston
0xa7fea388f955a9517067111030eb771c6d911f3e
- Realised P&L
- $6.9k
- Volume
- $800.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,300
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,300
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.49at 0.106Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
- +$488.31at 0.409Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$481.62at 0.761Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
- +$379.00at 0.620Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$329.65at 0.900Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:42 | Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.7482972292 | $29.71 |
| 09-17 01:45 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $36.57 |
| 09-17 00:29 | Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by September 30? | BUY | 0.8933333333 | $53.60 |
| 09-16 23:57 | Will Trump and Xi only be photographed shaking hands during their summit? | BUY | 0.9865566986 | $166.87 |
| 09-16 16:36 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4815789474 | $9.15 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-16 15:50 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 09-16 15:25 | Will anyone say "Surprise" during Big Brother E36? | BUY | 0.4057142857 | $14.20 |
| 09-16 14:13 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will Lennar say "Technology" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9250819672 | $56.43 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will Lennar say "Incentive" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9253846154 | $60.15 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will Lennar say "Affordability" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9251612903 | $57.36 |
| 09-16 13:24 | Will Lennar say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9250819672 | $56.43 |
| 09-16 12:27 | Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E37? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-16 12:24 | Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E37? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |