PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pkz

0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c

Realised P&L
$80.5k
Volume
$4.88M
Markets traded
1,407
Open portfolio
$84.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,407
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.2420.840$29.6k+$21.1k
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.8380.855$14.5k+$285.24
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? · No0.9200.955$7.3k+$269.08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.979$6.9k+$362.67
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.6890.850$6.5k+$1.2k
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · No0.8880.969$5.3k+$440.28
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.6750.785$4.8k+$665.15
Government shutdown by October 1? · No0.9900.993$4.6k+$11.99
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.8520.939$2.0k+$181.61
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? · No0.8900.981$678.65+$62.47
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.8080.930$652.55+$85.83
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1? · No0.9900.990$508.42$0.26
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · Yes0.3300.190$305.13$224.66
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.0990.325$275.04+$191.31
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9520.950$240.22$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:11Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.8076769707$566.72
09-17 11:11Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.839$104.88
09-16 17:26San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.7164776162$49.77
09-15 22:50Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?BUY0.8191586366$1.6k
09-15 22:49José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?SELL0.9683450556$348.60
09-15 02:54Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?BUY0.997$45.52
09-15 02:41Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?BUY0.9917800199$109.60
09-15 00:47Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?BUY0.9934586431$442.36
09-13 19:12Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 19?BUY0.48$28.80
09-13 19:11Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 16?BUY0.9139953122$343.15
09-13 16:57Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?BUY0.99$77.62
09-13 06:24Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 16?BUY0.9637528146$77.04
09-13 06:24Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 17?BUY0.46$9.20
09-13 06:24Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 19?BUY0.4545777996$27.72
09-13 06:23Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 18?BUY0.2325$37.20