pkz
0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c
- Realised P&L
- $67.7k
- Volume
- $5.05M
- Markets traded
- 1,496
- Open portfolio
- $100.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,496
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.9kat 0.231Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$8.1kat 0.050Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
- +$7.5kat 0.675Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
- +$7.5kat 0.519Will Fed end QT before May?
- +$5.9kat 0.743Spain snap election called in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:09 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? | BUY | 0.9989384846 | $447.05 |
| 11-01 01:55 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 31? | BUY | 0.9892268088 | $87.23 |
| 10-31 00:00 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1? | BUY | 0.8477966541 | $65.37 |
| 10-30 22:26 | Will Vox win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.997 | $11.68 |
| 10-30 22:25 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.8035756021 | $347.68 |
| 10-30 22:24 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.5377130612 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 05:04 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.994 | $56.66 |
| 10-30 05:04 | Will PP win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.9902576177 | $57.20 |
| 10-30 05:04 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.9906143092 | $108.41 |
| 10-30 05:02 | Will Vox win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.997 | $41.16 |
| 10-30 00:33 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.410377651 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 00:26 | Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31? | BUY | 0.907 | $135.69 |
| 10-29 06:52 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.354730415 | $209.15 |
| 10-29 00:17 | Will Vox win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.998 | $125.75 |
| 10-28 23:50 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.9274666115 | $145.83 |