PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pkz

0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c

Realised P&L
$67.7k
Volume
$5.05M
Markets traded
1,496
Open portfolio
$100.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,496
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:09Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?BUY0.9989384846$447.05
11-01 01:55Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 31?BUY0.9892268088$87.23
10-31 00:00Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?BUY0.8477966541$65.37
10-30 22:26Will Vox win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.997$11.68
10-30 22:25Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.8035756021$347.68
10-30 22:24Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?BUY0.5377130612$1.1k
10-30 05:04Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.994$56.66
10-30 05:04Will PP win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.9902576177$57.20
10-30 05:04Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.9906143092$108.41
10-30 05:02Will Vox win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.997$41.16
10-30 00:33Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?BUY0.410377651$1.1k
10-30 00:26Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?BUY0.907$135.69
10-29 06:52Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?BUY0.354730415$209.15
10-29 00:17Will Vox win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.998$125.75
10-28 23:50Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.9274666115$145.83