pkz
0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c
- Realised P&L
- $80.5k
- Volume
- $4.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,407
- Open portfolio
- $84.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,407
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.9kat 0.231Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$8.1kat 0.050Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?
- +$7.5kat 0.675Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
- +$7.5kat 0.519Will Fed end QT before May?
- +$5.8kat 0.518Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:11 | Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.8076769707 | $566.72 |
| 09-17 11:11 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.839 | $104.88 |
| 09-16 17:26 | San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7164776162 | $49.77 |
| 09-15 22:50 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.8191586366 | $1.6k |
| 09-15 22:49 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | SELL | 0.9683450556 | $348.60 |
| 09-15 02:54 | Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | BUY | 0.997 | $45.52 |
| 09-15 02:41 | Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? | BUY | 0.9917800199 | $109.60 |
| 09-15 00:47 | Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | BUY | 0.9934586431 | $442.36 |
| 09-13 19:12 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 19? | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 09-13 19:11 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 16? | BUY | 0.9139953122 | $343.15 |
| 09-13 16:57 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $77.62 |
| 09-13 06:24 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 16? | BUY | 0.9637528146 | $77.04 |
| 09-13 06:24 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-13 06:24 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 19? | BUY | 0.4545777996 | $27.72 |
| 09-13 06:23 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 18? | BUY | 0.2325 | $37.20 |