0xC2cAb36AC330e3f7DFcaE56fe1F0A89940f804f5-1771535889353
0xc2cab36ac330e3f7dfcae56fe1f0a89940f804f5
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Markets traded
- 10,729
- Open portfolio
- $54.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,729
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.40at 0.002Aguilar vs. Varillas: Match O/U 22.5
- +$479.67at 0.001Aguilar vs. Varillas: Match O/U 23.5
- +$233.00at 0.002Tochigi SC vs. Thespa Gunma: O/U 2.5
- +$222.93at 0.002Spread: Tochigi SC (-1.5)
- +$208.50at 0.004Tochigi SC vs. Thespa Gunma: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:19 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.24 |
| 11-01 14:04 | Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will Vox win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 10-31 17:28 | Will Skuba play for MIBR in 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-31 12:48 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 2 above $315? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.38 |
| 10-31 12:48 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 2 above $320? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.26 |
| 10-31 07:30 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.16 |
| 10-31 01:34 | Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 10-30 16:08 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.22 |
| 10-29 10:16 | Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.37 |
| 10-29 08:05 | Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 10-28 16:54 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.08 |
| 10-27 20:44 | Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.21 |
| 10-26 21:48 | Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.79 |
| 10-26 21:48 | Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |