Gdub
0x0b644e443a404159a7b5ca4650cf2444b13549bd
- Realised P&L
- $32.9k
- Volume
- $12.71M
- Markets traded
- 1,135
- Open portfolio
- $109.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,135
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.2kat 0.005Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
- +$27.6kat 0.032Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
- +$11.5kat 0.000Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
- +$6.2kat 0.209Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
- +$5.9kat 0.222Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:50 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8839579 | $2.7k |
| 09-17 01:18 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $434.40 |
| 09-17 01:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.9934190733 | $3.0k |
| 09-15 22:38 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $373.60 |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $9.6k |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $4.0k |
| 09-15 01:14 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.6k |
| 09-14 23:39 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $2.4k |
| 09-14 23:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.990137482 | $5.0k |
| 09-04 21:57 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.4k |
| 09-03 22:32 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $940.00 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $18.1k |
| 08-29 20:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $361.92 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $343.30 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $2.3k |