PolyBot

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Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.028. down 0.008 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.028 to 0.044. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.031102102
0.033105207
0.034156363
0.035170533
0.049220753
0.0506021,355
0.0514211,775
0.0561001,875
0.0584252,300
0.0593562,656
0.0974003,056
0.0984003,456

Spread0.006Mid0.028

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0251212
0.024500512
0.023261773
0.02250823
0.0214391,262
0.0201,1802,442
0.0175292,971
0.0161,0504,021
0.0145304,551
0.0131,0005,551
0.0123,7239,274
0.0113,36912,643

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9751212
0.976500512
0.977261773
0.97850823
0.9794391,262
0.9801,1802,442
0.9835292,971
0.9841,0504,021
0.9865304,551
0.9871,0005,551
0.9883,7239,274
0.9893,36912,643

Spread0.006Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.969102102
0.967105207
0.966156363
0.965170533
0.951220753
0.9506021,355
0.9494211,775
0.9441001,875
0.9424252,300
0.9413562,656
0.9034003,056
0.9024003,456

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
doilYes1,000
SlayerHYes999.99
grothYes944.73
bmtrYes653.7
fiterYes649.99
planktonXDYes517.97
maxkiselYes497.43
AJSVYes386.02
rocky42018Yes200.43
can111Yes200
SPLPBYes104.63
himkenYes100
aliizYes100
GamblerGaloreYes100
0Xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705Yes100
DegovnerdYes87.6
0xee67…67a6Yes55.87
0x65a2…6950Yes54.24
crossFiterYes52.06
frant1cYes50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:26:57BUYNo0.97530$29.25
17:39:09BUYNo0.9758$7.83
17:39:09BUYNo0.97512$11.85
17:39:09BUYNo0.9758$7.84
17:39:09BUYNo0.9758$7.87
16:23:30BUYNo0.97540$39.00
13:57:59BUYNo0.974100$97.40
09:20:57BUYYes0.032999999554$1.79
09:20:54BUYNo0.97530$29.25
09:20:54BUYNo0.97510$9.75
09:20:54BUYNo0.97552$50.79
04:14:44BUYNo0.97376730$29.21
03:59:12BUYNo0.9665$4.84
01:55:41SELLYes0.029443327968$1.99
01:55:39SELLYes0.029100$2.90
22:07:17BUYNo0.975$4.85
22:06:38BUYNo0.9715$14.55
21:42:21BUYYes0.041999999746$1.92
20:36:50BUYNo0.9751$49.47
18:45:24BUYYes0.04225$1.05
18:16:09BUYNo0.9755$4.88
17:36:20BUYNo0.9755$4.88
16:59:26BUYYes0.043999999523$1.00
16:59:23BUYNo0.97515$15.02
15:04:26BUYNo0.97425$24.35