Degovnerd
0x034a3987364122cf6f560e5a093d7c7dffbdd14b
- Realised P&L
- $-87.14
- Volume
- $46.6k
- Markets traded
- 358
- Open portfolio
- $162.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded358
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.86at 0.330Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$27.46at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.52at 0.778Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$17.55at 0.487Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.57at 0.622Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:24 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 04:50 | Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 07:28 | Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 07:27 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 07:26 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 07:25 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.855 | $5.21 |
| 09-09 14:32 | Will Ethena reach $0.36 in September? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:32 | Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0424718624 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 14:31 | Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2111210549 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 18:06 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.8769999027 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 16:56 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 16:55 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 16:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6449999903 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 16:53 | Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |