PolyBot

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Traders

SPLPB

0xdf0e455ca4896232ba935a8176e5e8cfbb38c02b

Realised P&L
$-16.2k
Volume
$4.28M
Markets traded
5,090
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,090
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · Yes0.8200.805$1.2k−$22.03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.7000.695$775.85−$5.58
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? · No0.8280.803$576.64−$17.95
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.7200.664$481.85−$40.64
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%? · Yes0.3300.275$86.08−$17.21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · No0.6100.585$78.89−$3.37
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? · No0.6200.565$62.72−$6.11
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.6010.550$60.65−$5.56
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · No0.7790.696$54.29−$6.47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? · No0.7610.750$51.79−$0.76
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? · No0.7340.575$49.41−$13.75
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? · No0.4600.380$45.77−$9.64
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? · No0.8800.825$41.25−$2.75
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4500.390$40.17−$6.18
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? · No0.8800.850$38.25−$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 05:34Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?BUY0.11$0.55
11-01 19:20Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29$531.02
11-01 10:50Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.20386618$83.79
11-01 10:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.65$46.15
11-01 06:35Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.41$41.00
11-01 04:05Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.104326523$11.18
11-01 01:28Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.41$20.50
11-01 00:44Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?BUY0.796$89.93
11-01 00:19Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.943$1.08
10-31 23:02Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?SELL0.95$1.04
10-31 21:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.046$48.30
10-31 19:17Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.021$0.03
10-31 18:38Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?BUY0.212$4.66
10-31 18:31Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.953$40.03
10-31 18:28Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0525123013$12.06