frant1c
0x37390a0744c0ea871ab9f776a07499401629307f
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 691
- Open portfolio
- $25.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded691
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$725.57at 0.090Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$162.73at 0.001Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
- +$158.73at 0.001Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
- +$127.08at 0.001Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?
- +$103.16at 0.072No airdrop in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:38 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.38 |
| 09-14 14:55 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.48 |
| 09-11 13:52 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.44 |
| 09-09 18:02 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 09-02 14:48 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 09-02 14:44 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 17:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.60 |
| 08-25 10:33 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 08-24 19:48 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.19 |
| 08-11 00:20 | LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $29.75 |
| 08-09 14:44 | Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins | BUY | 0.2799999944 | $30.15 |
| 08-08 12:49 | Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.759999992 | $18.90 |
| 08-08 12:48 | Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.73 |
| 08-08 00:46 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.489999998 | $81.24 |
| 08-06 14:04 | Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Kreazion (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3290818469 | $20.43 |