frant1c
0x37390a0744c0ea871ab9f776a07499401629307f
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Markets traded
- 767
- Open portfolio
- $23.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded767
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$725.57at 0.090Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$162.73at 0.001Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
- +$158.73at 0.001Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
- +$127.08at 0.001Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?
- +$103.16at 0.072No airdrop in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:06 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.04 |
| 10-26 07:39 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 10-25 20:40 | Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 10-17 21:09 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.12 |
| 10-17 09:34 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.30 |
| 10-16 14:15 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.27 |
| 10-14 14:05 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.09 |
| 10-08 07:51 | Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.015 | $3.37 |
| 10-08 07:46 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 10-05 19:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 130 and 140 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 10-05 14:10 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.89 |
| 10-02 21:14 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 10-02 21:12 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.016 | $2.85 |
| 10-01 20:14 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.80 |
| 09-28 14:42 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |