0x65a26dc1bf20fa7fc6cfb96133730c8ddbbd6950
0x65a26dc1bf20fa7fc6cfb96133730c8ddbbd6950
- Realised P&L
- $-241.98
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.43at 0.590Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$15.44at 0.763Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?
- +$13.26at 0.856Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
- +$11.08at 0.738Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
- +$10.55at 0.750US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $115.98 |
| 10-02 09:20 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999995 | $1.79 |
| 10-01 10:47 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999976 | $2.17 |
| 10-01 08:26 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $124.19 |
| 09-30 23:47 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999993 | $1.93 |
| 09-30 21:56 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999875 | $1.54 |
| 09-30 20:27 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7139999705 | $4.26 |
| 09-29 18:58 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.4099999944 | $28.62 |
| 09-29 18:22 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999985 | $10.84 |
| 09-29 18:21 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.2109999927 | $3.11 |
| 09-29 18:17 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.70 |
| 09-29 18:13 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.88 |
| 09-29 02:26 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.952 | $34.12 |
| 09-28 21:07 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.946 | $15.88 |
| 09-28 00:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.63 |