PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0Xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705

0x637e7d6e17f789f3d78837815681becfce2f8cea

Realised P&L
$-67.14
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
956
Open portfolio
$3.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded956
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $20? · No0.0010.100$1.49+$1.48
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M? · Yes0.0010.034$0.37+$0.36
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #2 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0010.023$0.34+$0.33
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0010.005$0.07+$0.06
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$540 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? · Yes0.0010.005$0.07+$0.06
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? · Yes0.0010.005$0.07+$0.06
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $40? · No0.0010.004$0.07+$0.05
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $140? · Yes0.0010.004$0.07+$0.05
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $130? · Yes0.0010.004$0.07+$0.05
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 14 above $30? · No0.0010.004$0.07+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.0010.014$0.06+$0.06
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by September 30? · No0.0010.004$0.06+$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes0.0010.003$0.04+$0.03
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$0.03+$0.02
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$0.03+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 18:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.95$9.50
09-06 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.95$9.50
09-06 17:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 16:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
09-06 16:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.96$9.60