groth
0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
- Realised P&L
- $146.4k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 588
- Open portfolio
- $103.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded588
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.2kat 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$13.9kat 0.182Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$11.2kat 0.533Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$11.1kat 0.858Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$11.0kat 0.216Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:18 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 10-30 15:32 | Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 10-30 15:30 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.35 |
| 10-29 21:08 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 10-29 15:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $214.89 |
| 10-28 18:00 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.19 | $25.20 |
| 10-28 14:21 | Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $175.00 |
| 10-28 10:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2615369067 | $784.61 |
| 10-27 20:04 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.6 | $78.56 |
| 10-27 18:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.24 | $480.00 |
| 10-27 10:58 | Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3578761503 | $1.8k |
| 10-27 01:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $358.48 |
| 10-26 08:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3349395118 | $2.2k |
| 10-26 07:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $158.80 |
| 10-25 13:17 | Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $483.48 |