PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

groth

0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015

Realised P&L
$148.3k
Volume
$2.01M
Markets traded
426
Open portfolio
$107.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded426
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · No0.7340.956$17.5k+$4.1k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7690.890$15.2k+$2.1k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9210.979$12.3k+$719.27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3400.395$8.0k+$1.1k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.7950.957$7.1k+$1.2k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.7240.875$6.7k+$1.2k
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8550.911$5.2k+$322.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7400.998$3.3k+$847.42
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5020.810$3.2k+$1.2k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.3640.425$3.0k+$427.45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2550.460$2.2k+$979.40
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1560.670$2.1k+$1.6k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.5600.685$2.1k+$379.17
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6030.675$1.8k+$197.59
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4210.585$1.8k+$498.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.78$780.00
08-02 16:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.86$860.00
08-02 13:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.66$494.27
08-02 04:33Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?BUY0.92$363.40
08-02 04:32Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?BUY0.8165729977$267.63
08-01 21:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.74$984.40
08-01 21:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.74$710.91
08-01 14:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.74$740.00
08-01 13:44Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?BUY0.94$133.30
08-01 13:35Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31?BUY0.39$66.30
08-01 13:34Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?BUY0.1031571294$28.37
08-01 13:30Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by August 31?BUY0.15$48.17
08-01 13:30Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?BUY0.14$28.00
08-01 13:28Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by August 31?BUY0.5$25.02
08-01 13:27Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by August 31?BUY0.53$11.13