rocky42018
0xeda045f91a24d199f78ef1f591fbbe6a5b517dff
- Realised P&L
- $-25.6k
- Volume
- $10.00M
- Markets traded
- 7,030
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,030
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.142Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
- +$1.4kat 0.102Will AC Monza win on 2026-01-17?
- +$1.2kat 0.185Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?
- +$1.2kat 0.245LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stage
- +$1.2kat 0.306Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:44 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $99.44 |
| 09-16 07:42 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.662 | $26.48 |
| 09-16 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-15 19:31 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.68 |
| 09-15 05:14 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.422 | $3.80 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $7.36 |
| 09-11 21:02 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $51.84 |
| 09-09 22:18 | Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.398 | $25.87 |
| 09-09 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-08 21:55 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.89 |
| 09-08 21:40 | Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.439 | $15.37 |
| 09-08 04:59 | Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.46 | $31.74 |
| 09-07 23:30 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.598 | $13.75 |
| 09-07 17:14 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $77.76 |
| 09-06 09:45 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.94 |