PolyBot

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Traders

rocky42018

0xeda045f91a24d199f78ef1f591fbbe6a5b517dff

Realised P&L
$-25.6k
Volume
$10.00M
Markets traded
7,030
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,030
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.8840.998$281.30+$32.01
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · No0.9420.954$252.93+$3.05
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? · Yes0.7640.855$219.36+$23.22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16? · No0.3971.000$212.26+$127.87
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.6280.615$139.79$2.92
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · No0.1600.587$137.65+$100.16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.5920.740$101.37+$20.21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9390.945$92.92+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.5060.500$90.53$1.05
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.1180.075$89.96$52.22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 17? · No0.9280.855$88.25$7.56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5060.525$83.23+$2.93
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes0.2720.235$70.36$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes0.2610.260$69.91$0.21
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · No0.6600.645$66.44$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:44Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.88$99.44
09-16 07:42Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?SELL0.662$26.48
09-16 02:17Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?SELL0.44$2.20
09-15 19:31Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.24$1.68
09-15 05:14Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?SELL0.422$3.80
09-14 22:30Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$7.36
09-11 21:02Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?SELL0.72$51.84
09-09 22:18Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.398$25.87
09-09 18:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 9?SELL0.61$12.20
09-08 21:55Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?SELL0.054$1.89
09-08 21:40Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.439$15.37
09-08 04:59Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?SELL0.46$31.74
09-07 23:30Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?SELL0.598$13.75
09-07 17:14Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.43$77.76
09-06 09:45Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?SELL0.54$5.94