Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.288 over the period, from 0.300. Range 0.011 to 0.410. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	50	50
0.019	44	94
0.020	65	159
0.077	40	199
0.078	80	279
0.080	29	308
0.090	8	317
0.110	8	325
0.183	235	560
0.184	5	565
0.187	497	1,062
0.189	100	1,162

Spread0.001Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.011	100	100
0.010	5	105
0.006	167	272
0.005	100	372
0.003	293	665
0.002	479	1,143
0.001	45	1,188

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.989	100	100
0.990	5	105
0.994	167	272
0.995	100	372
0.997	293	665
0.998	479	1,143
0.999	45	1,188

Spread0.001Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	50	50
0.981	44	94
0.980	65	159
0.923	40	199
0.922	80	279
0.920	29	308
0.910	8	317
0.890	8	325
0.817	235	560
0.816	5	565
0.813	497	1,062
0.811	100	1,162

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LornaPredicts	Yes	317.38
Dr.PNL	Yes	287.99
Numitus1994	Yes	208.78
1in1000	Yes	196.28
Bodytobody	Yes	142.01
tradetosurvive1	Yes	106.34
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	92.41
0x941e…5823	Yes	83.33
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	80
WarriorH	Yes	65
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	60.3
HerrieDavis	Yes	57.3
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	52
a5533	Yes	50
crossFiter	Yes	44
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	37.98
Hot-Skull	Yes	35.2
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	30
0x5533…51ba	Yes	29.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:09:54	BUY	No	0.988	24	$23.71
01:09:49	BUY	No	0.988	13	$12.65
01:09:49	BUY	No	0.98576	10	$9.86
19:14:27	BUY	No	0.98	7	$7.06
17:20:45	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
15:51:58	SELL	Yes	0.03	20	$0.60
15:47:49	SELL	Yes	0.03	4	$0.11
15:25:31	BUY	No	0.97	11	$10.67
15:25:31	BUY	No	0.97	7	$6.50
15:25:31	BUY	No	0.97	14	$13.09
15:23:54	BUY	No	0.962	20	$19.24
15:23:49	BUY	No	0.96	10	$9.60
15:23:49	BUY	No	0.96	8	$7.68
08:55:07	SELL	No	0.93	1	$1.04
10:27:12	BUY	Yes	0.05	40	$2.00
06:54:21	SELL	No	0.93	35	$32.55
06:08:40	SELL	Yes	0.04	75	$2.99
03:34:34	SELL	Yes	0.04	8	$0.30
03:34:34	SELL	No	0.94	30	$28.20
03:34:34	SELL	Yes	0.04	22	$0.88
23:48:40	SELL	Yes	0.05	1	$0.03
23:39:22	BUY	No	0.96	7	$6.72
22:28:37	SELL	Yes	0.06	10	$0.60
22:26:10	SELL	Yes	0.05	40	$2.00
22:19:31	BUY	Yes	0.06	20	$1.20