PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Bodytobody

0xbd14da5083afdef8518339c2c1b7b19a491576b4

Realised P&L
$-172.3k
Volume
$9.10M
Markets traded
9,710
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,710
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.495$272.75$112.95
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.8600.920$262.95+$17.15
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7800.835$172.22+$11.34
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · No0.4900.360$138.13$49.88
Will Espanyol finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? · No0.9400.979$115.52+$4.60
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5600.335$114.57$76.95
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? · No0.3700.245$114.42$58.38
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · No0.7200.925$110.08+$24.39
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1400.170$96.92+$17.10
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · No0.5800.690$84.18+$13.42
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.6270.755$75.50+$12.81
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · Yes0.3300.310$73.47$4.74
Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election? · No0.5800.325$73.13$57.38
Will Moe Comuzzi win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? · No0.7000.705$66.81+$0.47
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? · No0.4600.460$64.40+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:12Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?SELL0.9$0.18
09-10 00:04Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?SELL0.0499736434$6.45
09-10 00:03Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?SELL0.81$17.93
09-10 00:02Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.09$2.25
09-09 23:58Will Brighton & Hove Albion be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.92$243.80
09-09 23:56Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.29$8.70
09-09 23:53Will Lille be relegated from the 2026-27 Ligue 1?SELL0.93$29.80
09-09 23:51Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?SELL0.05$2.34
09-09 23:46Will Getafe finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?SELL0.0425333333$1.53
09-09 23:37Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.15$4.50
09-09 23:35Will Newcastle United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?SELL0.9157142857$192.30
09-09 23:33Will Getafe finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?SELL0.12$6.00
09-09 23:33LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?SELL0.1205263158$22.90
09-09 23:32Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.13$0.65
09-09 23:28Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026?SELL0.26$5.20