0x941e9a0a2acec60cbab840e2831008bf93335823
- Realised P&L
- $-14.15
- Volume
- $414.11
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $111.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.687 | 0.725 | $61.45 | +$3.20 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.700 | $18.42 | −$1.58 |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.825 | $11.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.725 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.091 | $5.57 | −$9.43 |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $4.58 | −$5.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.07at 0.375Arizona vs. BYU: O/U 40.5
- +$-1.39at 0.011Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:19 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $18.25 |
| 09-16 19:19 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:58 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 19:49 | Arizona vs. BYU: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 19:46 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.28 |
| 09-12 19:41 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 19:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:51 | Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:47 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2449999972 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:47 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2449999912 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:45 | Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:44 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |