Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2030-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.38. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	2,068	2,068
0.24	3,002	5,070
0.25	1,470	6,540
0.26	227	6,768
0.29	10	6,778
0.30	78	6,856
0.31	1,200	8,056
0.39	10	8,066
0.76	53	8,119
0.77	618	8,737
0.78	2,526	11,264
0.79	1,250	12,514

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	590	590
0.21	4,304	4,895
0.20	11,960	16,855
0.19	1,500	18,355
0.18	2,558	20,913
0.17	11,194	32,107
0.16	300	32,407
0.15	114	32,521
0.14	57	32,578
0.13	4,000	36,578
0.11	5,909	42,487
0.09	7,222	49,709

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	590	590
0.79	4,304	4,895
0.80	11,960	16,855
0.81	1,500	18,355
0.82	2,558	20,913
0.83	11,194	32,107
0.84	300	32,407
0.85	114	32,521
0.86	57	32,578
0.87	4,000	36,578
0.89	5,909	42,487
0.91	7,222	49,709

Spread0.01Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	2,068	2,068
0.76	3,002	5,070
0.75	1,470	6,540
0.74	227	6,768
0.71	10	6,778
0.70	78	6,856
0.69	1,200	8,056
0.61	10	8,066
0.24	53	8,119
0.23	618	8,737
0.22	2,526	11,264
0.21	1,250	12,514

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	6,124.62
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	2,698.1
Logan.	Yes	2,000
DEGENKHAN	Yes	987.97
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	Yes	671.97
Anjun	Yes	650
0x2a5f…6c92	Yes	540
1nvoker1	Yes	227.85
42012	Yes	222.19
0x4e84…ef69	Yes	208.29
GuyFromTinder	Yes	177.11
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	102.07
Dr-x666	Yes	52.63
darthvanger1	Yes	45.45
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	39.75
chuhe124	Yes	25
0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112	Yes	19.98
winexecutescale	Yes	19
sm-02	Yes	15
asdfasd11	Yes	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:52:22	SELL	No	0.77	47	$36.12
10:30:16	BUY	No	0.7799999927	25	$19.20
10:30:16	BUY	No	0.7799999938	26	$20.00
06:14:28	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
06:04:27	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
05:54:25	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
05:44:24	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
05:34:22	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
05:24:15	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
05:12:46	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
05:02:45	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
04:06:46	SELL	No	0.78	23	$17.85
18:46:09	BUY	Yes	0.2299999943	30	$6.91
18:27:30	BUY	Yes	0.2299999917	25	$5.83
18:27:28	BUY	No	0.7899999968	25	$20.00
14:54:40	BUY	Yes	0.2299999914	10	$2.40
00:00:58	BUY	Yes	0.22	53	$11.70
19:53:22	BUY	Yes	0.2199999974	45	$10.00
15:15:57	BUY	Yes	0.22	59	$13.09
10:24:30	SELL	Yes	0.21	200	$42.00
03:06:49	SELL	No	0.7754792284	429	$332.46
00:21:48	BUY	No	0.7899999997	63	$50.00
00:04:01	BUY	No	0.8	5	$4.00
00:00:57	BUY	Yes	0.23	10	$2.30
00:00:55	SELL	Yes	0.21	5	$0.98