PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2030-01-01
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.29 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.17 to 0.49. 14 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.208,0278,027
0.2128,08736,114
0.2213,21949,333
0.234,20053,533
0.9057054,103
0.914454,147
0.9450054,647
0.95654,653
0.962554,678
0.9721054,888
0.985054,938
0.9916355,102

Spread0.01Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1923,82623,826
0.18101,347125,172
0.17224,810349,982
0.1687,183437,166
0.156,069443,235
0.141,000444,235
0.0939444,274
0.0850444,324
0.07286444,609
0.06333444,943
0.05400445,343
0.04506445,849

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8123,82623,826
0.82101,347125,172
0.83224,810349,982
0.8487,183437,166
0.856,069443,235
0.861,000444,235
0.9139444,274
0.9250444,324
0.93286444,609
0.94333444,943
0.95400445,343
0.96506445,849

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.808,0278,027
0.7928,08736,114
0.7813,21949,333
0.774,20053,533
0.1057054,103
0.094454,147
0.0650054,647
0.05654,653
0.042554,678
0.0321054,888
0.025054,938
0.0116355,102

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AiBirdYes4,706.67
coolcooltengYes800
eggsandoYes98
lissartterNo3,169.67
balabalababalabalaNo700
Dr.PNLNo500
GuyFromTinderNo300
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291No300
puravidaNo220
DanGabrielNo200
lolzzzlolNo200
Oscorp1No9
OneLastHurrahNo6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:46:04SELLNo0.8169$135.20
07:41:58BUYYes0.2800$160.00
07:30:52SELLNo0.8200$160.00
07:30:40SELLNo0.8200$160.00
07:30:12BUYYes0.29$1.80
07:29:51BUYYes0.191,947$369.84
06:44:27BUYYes0.19600$114.00
06:19:36SELLNo0.8169$55.89
06:11:24SELLNo0.81220$178.20
06:11:03SELLNo0.81200$162.00
06:10:51BUYYes0.1989$16.91
06:10:22BUYYes0.183,929$707.25
03:03:18SELLNo0.82200$164.00
03:03:15BUYYes0.18500$90.00
01:40:12BUYYes0.18500$90.00