DEGENKHAN
0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91
- Realised P&L
- $107.8k
- Volume
- $24.96M
- Markets traded
- 2,526
- Open portfolio
- $278.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,526
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.3kat 0.932Will Biden finish his term?
- +$5.2kat 0.878Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$3.7kat 0.011Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?
- +$3.2kat 0.998Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$3.0kat 0.961Will Biden resign before the election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:35 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-17 19:27 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.978 | $22.49 |
| 09-17 18:38 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-17 18:37 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-17 18:21 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.076557377 | $4.67 |
| 09-17 18:07 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-17 18:01 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 09-17 17:58 | RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-17 17:52 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.54 |
| 09-17 17:49 | Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 17:42 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |