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Traders

DEGENKHAN

0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91

Realised P&L
$104.7k
Volume
$25.12M
Markets traded
2,836
Open portfolio
$277.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,836
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.949$14.8k−$13.94
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9530.980$14.7k+$397.77
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9460.964$14.1k+$257.63
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9780.983$12.9k+$64.79
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9180.945$11.5k+$331.02
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9320.966$9.7k+$331.71
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.9680.967$8.7k−$15.51
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8370.945$8.5k+$966.83
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.8940.959$7.2k+$487.97
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9480.983$7.0k+$243.26
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? · No0.9540.973$6.7k+$129.93
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · No0.9140.935$6.3k+$140.04
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · No0.9380.975$6.1k+$229.55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9670.967$5.8k−$0.49
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9730.978$5.3k+$21.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:239.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.961$6.59
11-01 17:22Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.4$4.88
11-01 17:19Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9788333333$117.46
11-01 16:58Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?BUY0.9716454545$21.38
11-01 02:419.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.954$31.33
11-01 02:28Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.238$12.92
10-31 17:59Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.166$28.20
10-31 17:58New pandemic before 2028?BUY0.12$7.20
10-31 17:54US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.94$324.75
10-31 17:50Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.959$709.48
10-31 16:59Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?BUY0.985$4.92
10-31 16:59Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?BUY0.985$4.92
10-31 16:59Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?BUY0.992$4.96
10-31 16:58Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?BUY0.992$4.96
10-31 16:58Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?BUY0.973$4.87
Trader DEGENKHAN · PolyBot Pro