DEGENKHAN
0x21d0c129deb8a7f7e1569045200d20e23862ce91
- Realised P&L
- $104.7k
- Volume
- $25.12M
- Markets traded
- 2,836
- Open portfolio
- $277.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,836
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.3kat 0.932Will Biden finish his term?
- +$5.2kat 0.878Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$3.7kat 0.011Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?
- +$3.2kat 0.998Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$3.0kat 0.961Will Biden resign before the election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:23 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.961 | $6.59 |
| 11-01 17:22 | Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.88 |
| 11-01 17:19 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9788333333 | $117.46 |
| 11-01 16:58 | Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | BUY | 0.9716454545 | $21.38 |
| 11-01 02:41 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $31.33 |
| 11-01 02:28 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.238 | $12.92 |
| 10-31 17:59 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.166 | $28.20 |
| 10-31 17:58 | New pandemic before 2028? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 10-31 17:54 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $324.75 |
| 10-31 17:50 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $709.48 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-31 16:58 | Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-31 16:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |