42012
0xba8dd483ab52bf7fd1877ac323a5c2ae7747009d
- Realised P&L
- $37.1k
- Volume
- $9.86M
- Markets traded
- 6,326
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,326
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.160LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$1.3kat 0.250Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-17?
- +$1.3kat 0.266Dundee FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5
- +$1.3kat 0.180Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.060Will FCSB win on 2025-12-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:47 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.699 | $117.43 |
| 07-31 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 07-31 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 07-30 08:23 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.975 | $24.38 |
| 07-30 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 07-29 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 07-29 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 07-28 14:48 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.417 | $3.34 |
| 07-27 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 27? | SELL | 0.998 | $51.90 |
| 07-27 19:02 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.826 | $24.78 |
| 07-26 18:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.073 | $5.04 |
| 07-26 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.10 |
| 07-26 11:08 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.134 | $40.07 |
| 07-26 00:10 | Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.109 | $1.09 |
| 07-25 19:31 | Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.55 |