PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

42012

0xba8dd483ab52bf7fd1877ac323a5c2ae7747009d

Realised P&L
$34.5k
Volume
$10.20M
Markets traded
6,782
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,782
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1600.875$451.59+$369.03
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.2320.415$442.19+$195.41
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3210.305$298.74$15.19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.5880.745$275.66+$58.14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8700.895$256.87+$7.17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.9750.963$246.23$3.16
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.6500.870$243.60+$61.60
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.7880.800$232.62+$3.52
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.3930.335$225.92$39.29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.4370.315$194.78$75.22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.9220.979$183.96+$10.62
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5200.595$178.54+$22.51
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8840.905$178.46+$4.07
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · No0.8630.885$155.76+$3.80
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3700.545$147.04+$47.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:59Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.9$180.00
09-16 19:00Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)SELL0.5$40.00
09-16 12:51Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.049$1.62
09-16 05:41Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.049$10.54
09-15 22:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.889$98.68
09-15 16:30Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.07$3.78
09-15 15:48Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.08$3.28
09-15 15:37Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.084$1.76
09-15 13:34Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.47$10.34
09-15 08:02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.11$2.75
09-15 02:43Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.945$106.78
09-14 23:46Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.95$68.40
09-14 12:32Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.098$1.57
09-14 10:01Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.89$193.13
09-13 22:59Caribbean Premier League: Barbados Tridents vs Guyana Amazon WarriorsSELL0.47$37.60