PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

42012

0xba8dd483ab52bf7fd1877ac323a5c2ae7747009d

Realised P&L
$37.1k
Volume
$9.86M
Markets traded
6,326
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,326
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.3210.315$308.53$5.40
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.5950.705$274.66+$43.03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8400.875$259.88+$10.39
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6870.704$253.66+$5.84
Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · No0.7460.746$249.16+$0.00
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6400.615$239.84$9.75
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6400.735$151.62+$19.62
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6100.635$147.40+$5.80
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.2520.155$141.46$88.86
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · No0.3470.335$133.99$4.94
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.200$131.41+$6.57
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.3680.265$125.43$48.90
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? · Yes0.3500.360$108.00+$3.00
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.3470.335$100.31$3.61
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? · No0.7100.720$99.23+$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 00:47Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.699$117.43
07-31 07:15Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 31?SELL0.59$11.80
07-31 00:59Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 31?SELL0.56$22.40
07-30 08:23Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?SELL0.975$24.38
07-30 06:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 30?SELL0.91$7.28
07-29 20:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30?SELL0.95$19.00
07-29 05:27Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 29?SELL0.45$4.50
07-28 14:48Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.417$3.34
07-27 20:55Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 27?SELL0.998$51.90
07-27 19:02Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?SELL0.826$24.78
07-26 18:35Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?SELL0.073$5.04
07-26 15:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?BUY0.1$4.10
07-26 11:08Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.134$40.07
07-26 00:10Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?SELL0.109$1.09
07-25 19:31Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.93$6.55