0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c92
- Realised P&L
- $-29.3k
- Volume
- $996.5k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $221.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.4kat 0.340Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.4kat 0.349Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.935Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.3kat 0.654Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$2.2kat 0.190Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 18:00 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.83 | $34.03 |
| 08-01 16:36 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.15 | $18.40 |
| 07-31 17:31 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.0k |
| 07-31 17:31 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-31 17:30 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-31 17:29 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-31 17:29 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-31 17:28 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-31 17:28 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-31 17:27 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 07-30 21:32 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.98 |
| 07-29 22:29 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.05 |
| 07-29 18:00 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.9614138691 | $4.0k |
| 07-29 18:00 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.9989918642 | $4.7k |
| 07-29 17:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.215 | $2.1k |