0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c92
- Realised P&L
- $-14.1k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $273.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.4kat 0.340Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.6kat 0.105Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
- +$4.4kat 0.349Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.935Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.3kat 0.654Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 21:26 | XRP Up or Down - August 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $11.52 |
| 08-13 23:46 | Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 08-13 20:03 | Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 08-13 20:03 | Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 08-05 02:48 | Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.9945130836 | $193.83 |
| 08-05 02:12 | Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.18 | $17.10 |
| 08-05 01:55 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.16 | $73.44 |
| 08-05 01:55 | Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.12 | $6.12 |
| 08-05 01:55 | Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.121 | $6.05 |
| 08-05 01:54 | Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.93 |
| 08-05 01:30 | Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.9979855072 | $68.86 |
| 08-05 01:15 | Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.072 | $0.87 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.15 | $3.75 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.14 | $31.08 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.13 | $20.15 |