PolyBot

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Traders

0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c92

0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c92

Realised P&L
$-23.2k
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$309.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5400.817$170.8k+$57.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4790.183$35.4k−$57.0k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9581.000$14.4k+$606.61
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9931.000$8.1k+$58.51
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5581.000$8.1k+$3.6k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5681.000$8.1k+$3.5k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5521.000$7.6k+$3.4k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7450.725$5.8k−$158.58
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · No0.8271.000$5.6k+$964.81
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8530.904$5.0k+$286.48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8360.825$4.1k−$56.25
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · No0.6700.745$3.9k+$388.49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3260.275$3.8k−$704.17
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8600.865$3.1k+$18.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2500.215$3.0k−$496.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 12:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.34$162.71
10-02 08:03Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.77$1.4k
08-14 21:26XRP Up or Down - August 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.55$11.52
08-13 23:46Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.05$2.50
08-13 20:03Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina SiniakovaBUY0.51$15.30
08-13 20:03Cincinnati Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina SiniakovaBUY0.51$15.30
08-05 02:48Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.9945130836$193.83
08-05 02:12Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.18$17.10
08-05 01:55Will North America Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.16$73.44
08-05 01:55Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.12$6.12
08-05 01:55Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.121$6.05
08-05 01:54Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.999$55.93
08-05 01:30Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.9979855072$68.86
08-05 01:15Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.072$0.87
08-04 14:30Will Europe Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.15$3.75