PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c92

Realised P&L
$-29.3k
Volume
$996.5k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$221.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5170.792$151.5k+$52.7k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4980.207$37.6k$52.7k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9580.982$14.1k+$340.21
Will Cloud9 Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · No0.8270.830$4.6k+$16.21
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · No0.6700.695$3.6k+$128.98
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event · Yes0.8290.835$2.3k+$15.05
Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · No0.8420.865$2.1k+$54.68
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1290.128$713.75$7.28
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · No0.6450.655$691.09+$10.43
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · No0.5700.595$642.60+$27.00
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship? · No0.9981.000$540.11+$1.05
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8600.865$519.55+$3.00
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · No0.9400.955$515.43+$7.83
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · No0.9400.945$510.30+$2.70
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · No0.1300.135$335.94+$12.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 18:00Will North America Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.83$34.03
08-01 16:36Will North America Win the WSOP Main EventBUY0.15$18.40
07-31 17:31Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$3.0k
07-31 17:31Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 17:30Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 17:29Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 17:29Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 17:28Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 17:28Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-31 17:27Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.67$67.00
07-30 21:32Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.66$1.98
07-29 22:29Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.35$1.05
07-29 18:00Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.9614138691$4.0k
07-29 18:00Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.9989918642$4.7k
07-29 17:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.215$2.1k