0x789ecd369c64416d4b2a0b2f6766b1c3f3dad11e
0x789ecd369c64416d4b2a0b2f6766b1c3f3dad11e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.47
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $30.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.582 | 0.600 | $12.15 | +$0.37 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.571 | 0.585 | $9.05 | +$0.22 |
| Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $2.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will “Choka Choka” by Anitta and Shakira win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.455 | $2.71 | −$0.21 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.490 | 0.400 | $2.40 | −$0.54 |
| Will “La Perla” by Rosalía featuring Yahritza y su Esencia win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.008 | $0.73 | −$2.13 |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · LGD Gaming | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.85 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.81 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Down | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.06at 0.361Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?
- +$3.89at 0.562Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders
- +$2.43at 0.552Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
- +$2.02at 0.351Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$1.08at 0.710ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6299999573 | $2.95 |
| 09-23 04:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6299999573 | $2.95 |
| 09-23 04:16 | Will “Choka Choka” by Anitta and Shakira win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.4899999732 | $2.92 |
| 09-23 04:16 | Will “La Perla” by Rosalía featuring Yahritza y su Esencia win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.0312252071 | $2.86 |
| 09-23 04:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6299999573 | $2.95 |
| 09-23 03:55 | Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | BUY | 0.9499998253 | $2.99 |
| 09-23 03:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.039928952 | $2.81 |
| 09-23 02:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5399999449 | $2.94 |
| 09-23 02:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5399999449 | $2.94 |
| 09-23 02:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5399999449 | $2.94 |
| 09-23 02:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 09-23 01:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5499999532 | $2.94 |
| 07-25 11:52 | Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigur | SELL | 0.38 | $2.63 |
| 07-25 11:48 | Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigur | BUY | 0.4199999423 | $2.91 |
| 07-25 11:43 | Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys | SELL | 0.45 | $2.24 |