PolyBot

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Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.53. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.56. Range 0.42 to 0.63. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.531,3911,391
0.547,9859,377
0.557,60016,977
0.571,25518,232
0.584,64622,878
0.601,00023,878
0.6322824,106
0.6421724,323
0.813324,357
0.93824,365
0.941,66626,031
0.9580026,831

Spread0.01Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.52498498
0.516,3936,891
0.503,80810,699
0.4020010,899
0.3720611,105
0.1662511,730
0.1540012,130
0.051312,143
0.041,29913,442
0.031,33314,775
0.023,24718,022
0.014,68322,705

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.48498498
0.496,3936,891
0.503,80810,699
0.6020010,899
0.6320611,105
0.8462511,730
0.8540012,130
0.951312,143
0.961,29913,442
0.971,33314,775
0.983,24718,022
0.994,68322,705

Spread0.01Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.471,3911,391
0.467,9859,377
0.457,60016,977
0.431,25518,232
0.424,64622,878
0.401,00023,878
0.3722824,106
0.3621724,323
0.193324,357
0.07824,365
0.061,66626,031
0.0580026,831

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Parz1vaIYes10,619.89
DragontreeYes5,520.25
Contentious-DinnerdateYes4,179.99
6F456F7474666A7479Yes2,311
TheWindKnowsmyNameYes1,555.32
AgecanonixYes1,000.04
lissartterYes860.45
50-PenceYes700
MathFluffYes600
Gl4dYes555
mariacryptossYes553
0x852d48cAE50Dc7dE2956617Db0CEEaF218FB1f98-1791306008612Yes516.54
willepille333333Yes487.65
UmarothYes472.46
molodoyyYes451.57
CT-testYes416.94
PaddyAlphaYes410
rocky42009Yes298.54
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes249.25
sbimbgYes245

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:21:57SELLYes0.53417$220.82
17:31:18BUYNo0.4662$28.73
17:31:18SELLYes0.5462$33.72
13:29:45SELLNo0.457$3.29
10:06:49BUYYes0.549999995455$30.00
04:06:18SELLYes0.5429$15.63
04:06:18SELLNo0.458$3.58
01:44:42BUYNo0.4650$23.00
00:42:00SELLYes0.547$3.86
18:54:39SELLYes0.545$2.86
09:28:36BUYNo0.45187$84.15
03:44:18BUYNo0.44105$46.20
03:12:09SELLYes0.56200$112.00
00:59:21BUYYes0.56999998863$1.50
00:59:18BUYYes0.56599$335.34
00:52:37BUYYes0.559999994328$15.66
20:56:24BUYYes0.5655$30.80
20:24:13BUYYes0.55999993284$2.00
18:22:21BUYYes0.55999995627$4.09
18:22:13BUYYes0.55999995627$4.09
18:22:09BUYYes0.55999988053$1.50
18:22:04SELLYes0.55248$136.55
11:30:45SELLYes0.5681$45.36
11:14:10BUYYes0.56999998863$1.50
11:14:09BUYYes0.569999988618$10.00