Parz1vaI
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
- Realised P&L
- $798.7k
- Volume
- $70.21M
- Markets traded
- 5,911
- Open portfolio
- $365.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,911
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.0kat 0.764US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$82.6kat 0.328Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$45.5kat 0.630Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- +$38.7kat 0.165US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$36.2kat 0.003MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:38 | Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 09-17 01:21 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.15 |
| 09-17 01:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.9582823509 | $10.0k |
| 09-17 01:15 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.6738795957 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 16:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.8k |
| 09-15 22:22 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $456.82 |
| 09-15 22:14 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 22:06 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.7838123135 | $1.9k |
| 09-15 16:42 | Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.71 |
| 09-15 16:41 | Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | BUY | 0.9061743893 | $866.95 |
| 09-15 16:36 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.88 | $140.80 |
| 09-15 16:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9957352941 | $6.8k |
| 09-15 16:31 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%? | BUY | 0.2762396007 | $166.02 |
| 09-15 16:31 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? | BUY | 0.3268219178 | $119.29 |
| 09-15 16:28 | Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $377.19 |