Parz1vaI
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
- Realised P&L
- $758.7k
- Volume
- $66.98M
- Markets traded
- 5,717
- Open portfolio
- $340.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,717
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.0kat 0.764US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$36.9kat 0.003MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$25.5kat 0.321Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$24.8kat 0.180US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.1kat 0.916Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:11 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9522793871 | $858.97 |
| 08-02 03:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.531278867 | $12.2k |
| 08-01 20:41 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.6191265613 | $70.88 |
| 08-01 20:41 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.5027895738 | $190.39 |
| 08-01 18:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1074279622 | $3.1k |
| 08-01 02:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $219.78 |
| 08-01 02:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $41.40 |
| 08-01 01:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $150.20 |
| 08-01 00:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $286.29 |
| 07-31 12:16 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6600737925 | $2.8k |
| 07-31 07:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $575.76 |
| 07-31 07:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.5461275086 | $1.6k |
| 07-31 07:31 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8935128122 | $413.21 |
| 07-31 07:31 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $33.21 |
| 07-31 07:31 | Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $113.16 |