PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Parz1vaI

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461

Realised P&L
$758.7k
Volume
$66.98M
Markets traded
5,717
Open portfolio
$340.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,717
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.873$87.3k+$37.3k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1530.535$24.3k+$17.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9911.000$22.3k+$185.87
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9030.903$20.5k$7.55
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9160.945$17.8k+$550.56
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9020.935$14.1k+$500.06
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9530.982$13.7k+$405.05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.128$12.8k$37.3k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2580.213$12.7k$2.7k
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9200.977$11.5k+$659.57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6790.655$9.4k$346.78
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6730.770$9.2k+$1.2k
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.964$9.1k+$225.73
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · No0.9640.979$9.0k+$135.51
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3990.345$8.8k$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:11Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9522793871$858.97
08-02 03:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.531278867$12.2k
08-01 20:41Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.6191265613$70.88
08-01 20:41Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.5027895738$190.39
08-01 18:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1074279622$3.1k
08-01 02:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.13$219.78
08-01 02:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.12$41.40
08-01 01:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.11$150.20
08-01 00:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1$286.29
07-31 12:16U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6600737925$2.8k
07-31 07:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.57$575.76
07-31 07:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.5461275086$1.6k
07-31 07:31Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?SELL0.8935128122$413.21
07-31 07:31Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$33.21
07-31 07:31Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$113.16