Parz1vaI
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
- Realised P&L
- $804.4k
- Volume
- $72.75M
- Markets traded
- 6,114
- Open portfolio
- $318.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,114
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.0kat 0.764US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$82.6kat 0.328Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$45.5kat 0.630Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- +$38.7kat 0.165US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$36.2kat 0.003MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:52 | Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.3855555556 | $173.50 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9574344356 | $839.67 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.5k |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6815617714 | $471.25 |
| 11-01 15:20 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.2k |
| 11-01 09:46 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.6579334266 | $343.33 |
| 11-01 00:50 | Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.926858061 | $236.52 |
| 11-01 00:50 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6993963725 | $729.95 |
| 11-01 00:49 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3634131701 | $428.04 |
| 11-01 00:49 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989390199 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 00:49 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2920618325 | $972.70 |
| 11-01 00:48 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.3k |
| 11-01 00:40 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.743094146 | $615.65 |
| 10-31 13:19 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.9536036723 | $190.08 |
| 10-31 13:18 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $13.3k |