PolyBot

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Traders

Agecanonix

0xe0682f6feca8fa12d74e523f3856a5ea47edc5ea

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
12,538
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,538
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6100.525$525.02−$85.00
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · Yes0.4800.445$424.52−$33.39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4890.437$410.57−$48.86
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4450.403$402.50−$42.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6840.660$330.26−$11.75
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · Yes0.2500.225$327.15−$36.35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7670.745$282.82−$8.56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · Yes0.3100.255$255.00−$55.00
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1700.150$179.45−$23.93
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.735$137.98−$0.94
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2400.185$106.53−$31.67
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3330.335$59.12+$0.42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Yes0.2700.245$38.22−$3.90
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.5900.575$28.75−$0.75
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? · No0.4800.425$21.25−$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:43Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.84$16.46
11-01 19:51Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$59.57
11-01 18:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.21$6.30
11-01 18:30Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.14$55.89
11-01 18:30Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.14$14.11
11-01 18:30Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.15$22.35
11-01 17:41Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.69$24.25
11-01 17:41Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.69$17.77
11-01 17:39Israeli election results in a hung parliament?SELL0.48$22.09
11-01 17:05Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.31$3.87
11-01 16:48Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?SELL0.74$231.08
11-01 15:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.28$9.67
11-01 13:17Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.84$11.97
11-01 12:09Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.8$268.80
11-01 12:09Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.8$131.20