PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

50-Pence

0x9478e0b0db650ac66ca3a2c9f6ed68ebca4863f5

Realised P&L
$145.0k
Volume
$21.79M
Markets traded
617
Open portfolio
$73.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded617
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.145$12.0k+$10.4k
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.135$11.2k+$9.6k
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.125$10.3k+$8.8k
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.105$8.7k+$7.1k
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.085$7.0k+$5.5k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4950.255$4.3k−$4.1k
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.045$3.7k+$2.2k
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.7600.765$2.8k+$18.16
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.027$2.2k+$661.66
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.022$1.9k+$289.43
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.017$1.4k−$206.88
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.011$951.25−$620.47
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.009$785.82−$785.90
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.009$785.82−$785.90
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0190.006$537.67−$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 18:02Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.49$980.00
09-29 13:55Will LASK win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$82.72
09-29 13:54Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$82.72
09-29 13:53Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$82.72
09-29 13:51Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$82.72
08-22 08:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$490.25
07-10 12:08Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5BUY0.008$12.80
04-11 03:14Warriors vs. KingsBUY0.55$2.7k
03-22 22:11St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas JayhawksBUY0.36$357.10
03-22 21:30St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas JayhawksBUY0.38$376.87
03-21 21:59TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsBUY0.92$2.8k
03-21 20:26Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansBUY0.12$239.11
03-21 20:26Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansBUY0.12$239.11
02-22 08:24Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.91$74.06
02-14 01:42Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9759208431$2.4k