50-Pence
0x9478e0b0db650ac66ca3a2c9f6ed68ebca4863f5
- Realised P&L
- $145.0k
- Volume
- $21.79M
- Markets traded
- 617
- Open portfolio
- $73.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded617
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.5kat 0.157Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$104.1kat 0.048Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.8kat 0.140Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$14.9kat 0.024Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
- +$10.7kat 0.326Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.49 | $980.00 |
| 09-29 13:55 | Will LASK win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $82.72 |
| 09-29 13:54 | Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $82.72 |
| 09-29 13:53 | Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $82.72 |
| 09-29 13:51 | Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $82.72 |
| 08-22 08:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $490.25 |
| 07-10 12:08 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.008 | $12.80 |
| 04-11 03:14 | Warriors vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $2.7k |
| 03-22 22:11 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | BUY | 0.36 | $357.10 |
| 03-22 21:30 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | BUY | 0.38 | $376.87 |
| 03-21 21:59 | TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY | 0.92 | $2.8k |
| 03-21 20:26 | Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | BUY | 0.12 | $239.11 |
| 03-21 20:26 | Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans | BUY | 0.12 | $239.11 |
| 02-22 08:24 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.91 | $74.06 |
| 02-14 01:42 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9759208431 | $2.4k |