0x852d48cAE50Dc7dE2956617Db0CEEaF218FB1f98-1791306008612
0x852d48cae50dc7de2956617db0ceeaf218fb1f98
- Realised P&L
- $12.55
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $271.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.525 | $271.18 | −$74.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.55at 0.237Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 18:23 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $346.08 |
| 10-07 12:38 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2437951507 | $273.49 |
| 10-07 06:53 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $42.85 |
| 10-07 06:51 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $43.41 |
| 10-06 17:05 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $326.43 |