PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf5198df69e13937a40d1c76d6f72d9aa067d906b

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
7,088
Open portfolio
$89.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded7,088
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7110.870$32.7k+$6.0k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8000.981$4.1k+$755.80
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 2 Everton FC? · No0.9200.920$3.6k+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? · No0.6470.665$2.6k+$68.31
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes0.8100.815$2.3k+$14.25
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? · No0.8900.995$2.1k+$218.90
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · No0.7700.685$2.0k−$253.83
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9710.980$2.0k+$17.00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? · Yes0.8400.855$1.8k+$32.18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7900.725$1.8k−$159.86
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? · No0.8700.710$1.4k−$313.93
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913? · No0.8900.820$1.2k−$104.98
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · No0.6750.665$1.1k−$16.89
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.6100.525$1.1k−$175.89
Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7700.650$952.53−$175.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 20:162026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.22$1.4k
11-01 16:48Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.37$3.5k
11-01 16:47Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.38$102.86
11-01 16:45Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.59$5.9k
11-01 16:29Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.6$9.9k
10-31 18:55Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.93$7.4k
10-31 14:43Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.76$4.6k
10-31 14:26Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5BUY0.07$2.80
10-30 18:46Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 2 Racing Club de Lens?BUY0.06$45.00
10-29 15:55Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?BUY0.67$474.60
10-29 15:40Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?SELL0.81$486.00
10-29 12:12Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano DarderiBUY0.77$1.5k
10-26 21:29Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?SELL0.78$156.00
10-26 21:28Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?SELL0.75$102.75
10-26 09:56LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.36$8.17