TheWindKnowsmyName
0x17b8dd10eb8657c495fe04a469c956fcc301d5d1
- Realised P&L
- $-51.9k
- Volume
- $2.66M
- Markets traded
- 1,292
- Open portfolio
- $241.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,292
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.7kat 0.242Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$11.8kat 0.860UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$10.9kat 0.447Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$9.9kat 0.382UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$8.8kat 0.457UFC Fight Night: Michael Aljarouj vs. Fabia Sintes (Flyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:07 | Will Florida (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $26.14 |
| 11-01 20:05 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 11-01 19:58 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.829 | $82.90 |
| 11-01 19:58 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8289999977 | $18.13 |
| 11-01 19:58 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.826 | $82.60 |
| 11-01 19:49 | Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North? | SELL | 0.87 | $43.49 |
| 11-01 19:34 | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | SELL | 0.892 | $89.20 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | SELL | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 19:26 | US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 11-01 19:01 | Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.13 |
| 11-01 18:57 | Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.11 |
| 11-01 18:55 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999999 | $30.76 |
| 11-01 18:54 | Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North? | BUY | 0.85 | $64.31 |
| 11-01 18:45 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $61.49 |
| 11-01 18:10 | Will Montana be the closest Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9754464286 | $43.70 |