TheWindKnowsmyName
0x17b8dd10eb8657c495fe04a469c956fcc301d5d1
- Realised P&L
- $-35.2k
- Volume
- $1.45M
- Markets traded
- 367
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded367
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims) · Kauê Fernandes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$259.13 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.14 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.78 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.12 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Waldo Cortes Acosta | 0.276 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Over | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds · Under | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.67 |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0.471 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$691.69 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.48 |
| Will the fight be won by submission? · No | 0.272 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$586.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.7kat 0.242Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$11.8kat 0.860UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$10.9kat 0.447Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$9.9kat 0.382UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$8.8kat 0.457UFC Fight Night: Michael Aljarouj vs. Fabia Sintes (Flyweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:14 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.9773408351 | $245.00 |
| 09-16 00:14 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.98 | $137.17 |
| 09-16 00:14 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.98 | $25.48 |
| 09-16 00:14 | Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.0573090869 | $3.0k |
| 09-16 00:14 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.7219634703 | $18.97 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.445976615 | $72.05 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.5457185101 | $127.46 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.4723076923 | $61.40 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.4285294118 | $291.40 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.44 | $63.80 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.77 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.3656015803 | $27.43 |
| 09-15 23:55 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.32 | $4.41 |
| 09-15 23:55 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.3656176448 | $130.15 |