6F456F7474666A7479
0xed71335ec71385e5b7553aa180dd68fbb379d7ce
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $134.4k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.675Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.795Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.467Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.455Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$739.96at 0.720GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:54 | SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5610751138 | $147.90 |
| 09-30 23:19 | SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $24.73 |
| 09-30 23:18 | SSI public model released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5741860465 | $123.45 |
| 09-30 23:17 | SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.155 | $45.40 |
| 09-29 08:58 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5788728882 | $506.09 |
| 09-29 08:55 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.13 |
| 09-29 08:43 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.06207476 | $54.70 |
| 09-29 08:41 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $621.51 |
| 09-29 08:40 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6050929463 | $23.76 |
| 08-31 16:20 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4762789733 | $734.56 |
| 08-30 04:20 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.827 | $5.4k |
| 08-30 04:17 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6601462811 | $234.67 |
| 08-25 16:53 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4495438528 | $459.25 |
| 08-25 06:35 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8112538418 | $2.5k |
| 08-25 06:31 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4798360656 | $292.70 |